07-03-2012 09:43 AM
Heard that a weather service has put out a report comparing and contrasting this year's conditions to the drought of '88. Don't know what it says, but am certainly old enough to remember how bad things were then.
They're not that bad yet here, but obviously some farmers must be getting deja vu all over again. It's sure hot as heck and subsoil is real dry. In terms of temps, precip, and yields, I wonder how we'll compare this year to '88? -- Rob
07-03-2012 10:15 AM
Rob with increased irrigation and better crop genetics their is no reason why we shouldn't outyield 1988. I don't know how the rest of the country looks but most crops within 50 miles of me look about the same with the exception of a few spots that received a rain at key points. My Grandfather has farmed here since the late 1960's and has never had a year that corn yielded nothing. That includes 1988 where corn yielded 29 bushel. This year it is doubtful that we have a corn crop. I have corn on some very heavy clay ground. The corn curled and burned up in the lighter spots in the fields but in the heavier ground the corn 'looks' OK but never really grew. Corn that never curled and got chest high is now tasseling. 1988 was a year burned into memories, I believe the difference will be how wide spread it becomes. 1988 was a very wide spread drought but 2012 has made some garden spots in Eastern Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota that 1988 may not have had.
07-03-2012 10:18 AM - edited 07-03-2012 10:19 AM
MDA EarthSat Weather put out the report this morning, and is marketing it for $250. It includes maps comparing the two years in terms of temperature and precipitation, as well as comment on July and August weather outlook. The upshot, from MDA's perspective, is obviously that the two years deserve comparison.
07-05-2012 11:30 AM
07-05-2012 02:36 PM
I know i am overly simplistic at times but I will repeat something I have said before.
Trend line growth was built on irrigation development and crp(taking marginal land out of production). The seed companies claim all the credit but have actually had less effect on yield improvement than these two factors.
Irrigation is on the decrease nationally and crp is coming back into production------both negative to yield.
WATER makes grain. Most GMO development has been geared towards insect and weed control ----both created convenience not necessarily yield.
Water makes grain. Bullish we should be. We are going to have interesting marketing times for a while down the road.