Reply
Contributor
Posts: 39
Registered: ‎04-30-2010
0

1988

Heard that a weather service has put out a report comparing and contrasting this year's conditions to the drought of '88. Don't know what it says, but am certainly old enough to remember how bad things were then.

 

 They're not that bad yet here, but obviously some farmers must be getting deja vu all over again. It's sure hot as heck and subsoil is real dry.  In terms of temps, precip, and yields, I wonder how we'll compare this year to '88? -- Rob

Advisor
Posts: 1,027
Registered: ‎08-04-2010
0

Re: 1988

Rob with increased irrigation and better crop genetics their is no reason why we shouldn't outyield 1988. I don't know how the rest of the country looks but most crops within 50 miles of me look about the same with the exception of a few spots that received a rain at key points. My Grandfather has farmed here since the late 1960's and has never had a year that corn yielded nothing. That includes 1988 where corn yielded 29 bushel. This year it is doubtful that we have a corn crop. I have corn on some very heavy clay ground. The corn curled and burned up in the lighter spots in the fields but in the heavier ground the corn 'looks' OK but never really grew. Corn that never curled and got chest high is now tasseling. 1988 was a year burned into memories, I believe the difference will be how wide spread it becomes. 1988 was a very wide spread drought but 2012 has made some garden spots in Eastern Nebraska, Iowa and Minnesota that 1988 may not have had.

Advisor
Posts: 571
Registered: ‎04-29-2010
0

Re: 1988

[ Edited ]

MDA EarthSat Weather put out the report this morning, and is marketing it for $250. It includes maps comparing the two years in terms of temperature and precipitation, as well as comment on July and August weather outlook. The upshot, from MDA's perspective, is obviously that the two years deserve comparison.

 

John  

Veteran Advisor
Posts: 5,977
Registered: ‎10-25-2010
0

Re: 1988

Dad said in '88 we had dryland corn that yielded 13 BPA across the whole field.

Senior Contributor
Posts: 206
Registered: ‎05-17-2010
0

Re: 1988

  In 1988 for corn harvest, we put a hog in the grain  hopper of the combine , and switched him at noon for another because he was bored.

Contributor
Posts: 8
Registered: ‎05-14-2010
0

Re: 1988

this year reminds me more of 1983 than '88.. '83 is the only year (so far) that i had a field of corn with zero yield.. i guess the '83 drought may not have been a geographically widspread?

Veteran Advisor
Posts: 754
Registered: ‎06-30-2010
0

Historical Drought Maps

[ Edited ]
 
Honored Advisor
Posts: 5,927
Registered: ‎07-18-2011
0

Re: Historical Drought Maps

Great link-------------WcMO

 

I can see why the old guys in the sw (who lived through the 30s) talk so much about the 53-56 years.  Very interesting comparative.

Senior Contributor
Posts: 418
Registered: ‎04-02-2012
0

Re: 1988

After I looked at that I even got more bullish. Look at last year how most of us were sitting pretty good with moisture and only ended up with a 147 yield. My predictions this year is a 129 yield.
Honored Advisor
Posts: 5,927
Registered: ‎07-18-2011
0

Re: 1988

farmerjoe79, 

I know i am overly simplistic at times but I will repeat something I have said before.  

Trend line growth was built on irrigation development and crp(taking marginal land out of production).  The seed companies claim all the credit but have actually had less effect on yield improvement than these two factors.

Irrigation is on the decrease nationally and crp is coming back into production------both negative to yield.

WATER makes grain.   Most GMO development has been geared towards insect and weed control ----both created convenience not necessarily yield.

 

Water makes grain.  Bullish we should be.  We are going to have interesting marketing times for a while down the road.