12-07-2012 02:40 PM
Roy Smith's new column (full story) points out that a rare, second "dead cat bounce" has occured in the soybeans. The ten days higher rule was met on Tuesday.
Problem is, the bounce strategy doesn't give clear signals as for when to pull the trigger on sales. Three things to keep in mind, Roy points out:
1. The bounce seldom lasts past December 31. That gives three and a half weeks to make the decision.
2. Watch for worsening basis as a sign that demand is starting to diminish. So far, it's not happening.
3. In high price years like this one, a dollar a bushel over the harvest low has been a good target for selling.
Thoughts on the bean bounce?
12-07-2012 03:00 PM
Made a small sale today. Stochastics signaled overbought.
Not sure what lies ahead. Got the report Tues could be some bullish news , exports are good.
"Fiscal Cliff" is looming.
Had to let some air out today.
Whats with SA weather??