07-19-2011 06:27 AM
I know it is difficult to attach a yield to the overall crop condtion given on Mondays. What stands out in my mind is the 3%drop from last week and with the heat this week, another drop could be expected. Under certain condtions like late planting, excessive heat and floods, it is hard to believe that crops can come back to higher ratings in subsequent weeks. Damages have been done....MikeM
07-19-2011 08:26 AM
07-19-2011 08:59 AM
It seems logical to me that damage has been done. Stands to reason. But, when I've been in my fields that last few days I am seeing corn with few or no pests or diseases. I am not seeing leaves rolling. So, while I agree with you, it's hard to know how much to knock the yield back. I guess we won't know till the combines roll.
07-19-2011 10:17 AM
Jim, it's quite the opposite here. Lots of corn rolling. In fact there was quite a bit still rolled up at sunrise this morning. A narrow swath of showers went through Ohio late yesterday from Toledo southeast to Wilmington but nothing here. It sucks to watch this happen to a crop.
07-19-2011 12:56 PM
Im right there with ya SWO. Its been like this all summer here. North and west of my location has seen plenty of rain while we just have to sit and watch. This is my 5th year in a row of drought conditions. Corn is starting to stay curled during the night which is usually the beginning of the end. It will be interesting to take my vacation out west and rate the crops along the way. I have heard Iowa and South Dakota are having a good year but at the same time 50% of the nations corn crop is raised east of Iowa. USDA can fudge the numbers all they want but in the end all of the flooding, drought and late planting will add up. I thought it was funny when the long term forecast for the cornbelt was cool and wet, then USDA released VERY bearish numbers and the buying frenzy began. Its tough to say what corn yield will be like around here just yet. A nice rain could change things quickly but we are running out of time. If we don't get a rain very soon there wont be much to harvest.