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08-15-2017 10:46 AM
Corn conditions up and bean conditions down....does that make any sense to anyone? How is it even possible? The big rain totals have been in the ARK bean belt, not NC IA.
I must say that it is quite apparent that IA does not need any rain to produce a average crop. Not sure why we ever cared what happens in IA... :-)
Not that it ever matters, but our cool and damp forecast for mid-August has turned in to 3 - 87 degree days in a row after 19 days with no rain, so despite the crop moisture indexes, and drought monitors, the beans are under pretty good stress during pod fill. (I'll just ignore how pathetic they looked as we entered august :-) Yep, conditions are improved!
08-15-2017 11:01 AM
I'm not sure why we are even looking at these crop condition reports. They apparently don't mean anything when they are not good.
This has been clearly a case of mixed signals for producers. It's hard to get a handle on production and prices in a normal year....let alone a year like this one.
08-15-2017 11:21 AM
08-15-2017 11:58 AM
08-15-2017 12:39 PM - edited 08-15-2017 12:44 PM
Crop conditions "reports" are basically observations and (likely) some conjecture by non-farmers. How many of those "reporters" actually walk out into fields, make realistic/scientific counts, accurately stage crop growth stage/maturity? It's most likely they are often just visual observations without even a roadtrip, just based on what the "reporter" has heard, or maybe he/she called a couple people. Also, just as likely they are just visual (windshield) observations from an unscientific roadtrip. If it's dry and crops are turning brown, that's bad. If it rains and everything greens up, suddenly things look good. Personally, I think 80% of the crop rating is based on what the grass looks like on the highway shoulders and median strip. Perhaps they should publish the name of the local crop conditions "reporters" in the monthly FSA newsletters. Perhaps weekly reporting is too frequent.
All states participate in the survey. Each state maintains a list of reporters, largely extension agents and Farm Service Agency staff, who report progress and conditions of selected crops in their area for the current week. Nearly every county in every state has at least one reporter.
08-15-2017 01:23 PM
Fsa personel participate.......... There is a clue.....
If you publish that name she might leave the office the day it gets filled out............ No ... it wouldn't .......... that anti private ownership opinion is not going to change if there is a killing freeze tomorrow.
08-15-2017 08:22 PM
Speaking for NCIA, the corn crop is "clean as cold water`ll get it" it`s variable small ears, but quantifiable, it`s made one way or another. The beans could be surprisingly good, we got 1" and another 1" on the way, just keep jack frost away. I didn`t hedge anything and want both to go up, but if they have to screw us, I guess they have the most justification screwing us on the bean prices.
08-15-2017 09:26 PM