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Veteran Advisor
jennys_mn
Posts: 1,475
Registered: ‎07-19-2010
0

Extended Forcast

Not good - 6-10 & 8-14 does show that dome moving - NE into the center of the country. That thing is really big, and is forcing all weather systems up and over it. Systems are just crawling across the US. It's going to take something big to get it moving. Maybe a hurricane. But right now this is the reason I didn't agree with the forecasts a week ago. Computers are OK at forecasting wx, but they sometimes goof - like this time.

Jen
Veteran Advisor
jennys_mn
Posts: 1,475
Registered: ‎07-19-2010
0

Re: Extended Forcast

As I look at the jet stream again, I got to thinking about when I saw this kind of upper rotation in the jet stream that is so evident right now. I cannot remember seeing this powerful of a semi-permanent high pressure system for a long time. This IS a big deal. It's been what is responsible for the fires out west. This mass of sinking air does not allow for the development of thunderstorms. It kills any verticals development in the cloud structure - hence - no rain. Cold fronts lift warm moist air aloft as as they replace it with cooler and drier air, causing instability in the atmosphere, pushing this warm moisture air to a level where it finally condenses, forms clouds and ultimately rain. This high pressure system kills all that, no front can form in the vicinity of the high. And it looks like this monster is moving into the Midwest at a very inappropriate time.

Jen
Senior Contributor
Farmerjoe79
Posts: 411
Registered: ‎04-02-2012
0

Re: Extended Forcast

Your right Jen this system looks like it could hang around for a while.
Senior Contributor
Farmerjoe79
Posts: 411
Registered: ‎04-02-2012
0

Re: Extended Forcast

If you look on accuweather they got that heat moving in the next ten days and it looks like 100 degree temps. Just perfect temps for pollination.
Advisor
vrbuck
Posts: 858
Registered: ‎05-13-2010
0

Re: Extended Forcast

If you listen to the guberment they would tell you a dome of doom is good cause it lets the roots deepen.  14 bl crop here we come.....at least on paper.

Advisor
Red Steele
Posts: 4,558
Registered: ‎05-13-2010
0

Re: Extended Forcast

Yup, I am glad I read the government reports and listened to my market advisor and dumped everything in the bins, and contracted all my insured new crop bushels right before the fourth of July holiday.

 

THis way I won't have to pay so much income tax like the smart guys will.

"Peace on earth would mean the end of civilization as we know it" Joseph Heller
Veteran Advisor
jennys_mn
Posts: 1,475
Registered: ‎07-19-2010
0

Re: Extended Forcast

Yes - and now where is the accountability - there is none. All this stuff is put out there in a concerted effort to get the farmer to sell! Sell! And every year the ploy works to get us farmers to shake out some grain. These guys are liken to a casino. The cards are stacked against you when you go in. The have information that farmers aren't privy to. The know how much seed was sold vs previous years, how much fertilizer, what types, when it was applied and it's all fed into a data base telling the large buyers and specs when to buy and when to sell. I'm sure that physiology also comes into play. How many times have you bought a position on the board, it went against you, so you bailed, only to have the market big the next day. I know it's happened to me. It's like the big players know where a farmers breaking point is, and it's exploited year after year. And who's accountable? You are because you allowed them to get into your head and convince you with a flood of worthless bs that the market was going this way or that. Marketing is hard. It seems to be getting harder.

Jen