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Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
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Floor Talk June 11

[ Edited ]

At the close:

The July corn futures settle 7 cents lower at $5.91, while the Dec. contract closed 12 1/4 cents lower at $5.31 3/4. The July soybean contract finished 3/4 of a cent higher $14.27, while the Nov. 2012 contract settled 1/2 of a cent lower at $13.32. The July wheat futures finished 1/4 of a cent lower at $6.30. July soyoil futures settled $0.30 higher at $49.76. The July soymeal futures settled $1.50 per short ton lower at $428.30. 
In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.50 per barrel lower, the dollar is higher and the Dow Jones Industrials are down 62 points.

 

Mike

---------

At mid-session:

The July corn futures trade 1/2 of a cent higher at $5.98 1/2, while the Dec. contract trades 4 1/2 cents lower at $5.39. The July soybean contract is trading 4 cents higher $14.30 1/4, while the Nov. 2012 contract trades 1/2 of a cent higher at $13.33. The July wheat futures are trading 9 1/2 cents higher at $6.39 3/4. July soyoil futures trade l $0.47 higher at $49.93. The July soymeal futures are trading $1.30 per short ton lower at $428.50. 
In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.60 per barrel lower, the dollar is higher and the Dow Jones Industrials are down 42 points.

 

Mike

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At 10:30am:

Corn and soybeans have turned lower, while wheat remains higher Monday. Russia's dryness is supporting the wheat market. Otherwise, just a bunch of positioning ahead of tomorrow's USDA Report.

 

Mike

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At the open:

The July corn futures trade 3 cents higher at $6.01, while the Dec. contract trades 2 1/2 cents lower at $5.41 1/4. The July soybean contract is trading 7 1/4 cents higher $14.33 1/2, while the Nov. 2012 contract trades 6 1/2 cents higher at $13.39. The July wheat futures are trading 8 1/4 cents higher at $6.38 1/2. July soyoil futures trade l $0.43 higher at $49.89. The July soymeal futures opened unchanged at $429.80. 
In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.12 per barrel higher, the dollar is lower and the Dow Jones Industrials are down 9 points.

 

Mike

-----------

 

At 7:51am:

 

This afternoon's USDA Crop Pogress ratings are seen dropping 2-4%, according to some analysts. From what I witnessed in southern Iowa, yesterday, I wouldn't argue with a decline in a crop rating. Whew! I saw rolling corn. But, I even saw some 'pineapple-like' curling of leaves. I mean a few fields around Albia looked tougher than you know what. As far as soybeans, I saw a little bit of everything except a good looking field: a field that was just planted with no emergence, a field that had beans just barely emerged, and some fields that were planted early but just didn't look very good. That's my Sunday windshield tour.

 

Mike

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At 6:42am:

--Goldman Sachs Monday projected a 14% drop in ag commodities over the next 12 months.

--Money managers head into this week's trading 'short' wheat futures contracts, according to Friday's CFTC report.

--China's May soybean imports were 5.28 mmt, up 16% on-year, while Jan.-May soybean imports were 23.43 mmt, up 20% on-year.

--China's May corn exports were 3,615 mt, down 27, 491 mt a year ago.

 

 

Mike

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At 6:25am:

Early calls: Corn 1-2 cents higher (old-crop) and 4-5 cents lower (new crop), soybeans 6-7 cents higher, and wheat 6-7 cents higher.

 

Trackers:
Overnight grain, soybean markets=Trading mostly higher.
Crude Oil=$1.13 per barrel higher.
Dollar=Lower.
Wall Street=Seen starting higher, after the announcement of a Spanish bank bailout plan.

World Markets=Higher.

 

 

More in a minute,

 

Mike

Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

Now this is more like it. Plenty of colors for Midwest farmers looking for rain, according to the latest Freese-Notis Weather radar:

 

InterRAD.gif

Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

85% of the corn in Louisiana is tasseling. Yield estimates are ranging from 60-200 bu./acre this year, according to an agronomist contact of mine. I know, I know, LA's crop is a very small percentage of the total U.S. corn crop. Just thought I would throw it out there this morning. 

 

Mike

Esteemed Advisor
sw363535
Posts: 4,448
Registered: ‎07-18-2011
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

--Goldman Sach's Monday projected a 14% drop in ag commodities over the next 12 months.

 

That should bring down ending stocks -----------Right Mike?:smileyfrustrated:

sw
Veteran Advisor
Nebrfarmr
Posts: 6,808
Registered: ‎10-25-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

Glad someone is getting the rain. We didn't even get enough to call it a 'sprinkle'.

Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

sw363535,

 

I don't know about that. But, some analysts do see the USDA increasing soybean exports tomorrow and lowering ending stocks for this year and next. So, you might be onto something. How does your marketing plan look ahead of the first of two major reports this month?

 

Thanks for sharing,

 

Mike

Veteran Contributor
aaron-neill
Posts: 65
Registered: ‎05-17-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

Mike I don't know if we are both reading the same thing?  BTW doesn't look like ILL will get much out of this storm.  Very scattered.

 

SNIP

"Goldman Sachs raised to "overweight" its recommendation to investors on commodities, saying the sell-off on fears for Chinese, eurozone and US economies "is likely overdone", creating "upside risk" for prices."

 

http://www.agrimoney.com/news/goldman-lifts-commodities-to-overweight-rating--4619.html?utm

@cfarms76
Senior Contributor
425Cat
Posts: 1,507
Registered: ‎05-14-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

Totals may not amount to much

Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
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Re: Floor Talk June 11

[ Edited ]

aaron-neill,

 

If you read that link's story carefully, you'll notice that Goldman Sachs sees a rise in general commodities, but is hesitant on ag commodities. One sentence states, "However, it urged agricultural commodity producers to "wait for a recovery in crop prices". Take a look again.

 

Mike

Community Manager
marketeye
Posts: 3,097
Registered: ‎05-03-2010
0

Re: Floor Talk June 11

[ Edited ]

I talked about my Sunday windshield tour through southern Iowa. The trade needs to see both sides of this year's crop situation. I'm sure someone in northern Iowa/southern Minnesota is seeing something differently. I could have taken a bunch of crop pictures and illustrated a horrible picture-story. But, what really tells it all is the low water levels in the creeks.

 

Low Creek June 10.jpg

 

And then this one always says "dry" to me. I was left in the dust by this vehicle on a gravel road:

 

2012-06-10_19-01-48_396.jpg

 

And this cornfield showed signs of both potential and needed-prayer.

Short corn June 10.jpg

 

Mike