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10-02-2013 07:23 AM
South and west of us 10-40 bu/ac on several fields. Last year 50-70 with 50-60 aph
East of us similar going 10-40 bu/ac, last year 40-60.
Haven't started yet. Expecting 40 on ground that has done 50-70 in the last 5 years
Corn is even more crazy, west of us it's running 160-220 on ground that will do it but needs rain and they got it. Saw 300 but field ended up near 200 flat, overall doing good and it should it's some of the best corn in the nation this year
South of us with no rain running 80-130 on 185-200 aph ground, disappointing
North is 80-200 on 130-220 aph ground so a bit below average and just ok
East is 0-150 on 130-200 aph ground. Areas as bad as last year. Was expected as it didn't rain.
Depending on rain will start this weekend. Will see 200 plus in areas but doubt field averages break 100 and will be in some 20-40 stuff too on ground that will do 140-160. Pretty much expected it given little rain and too much heat around pollination
My take. Average crop at best on a national basis. So 146 times 85 is 12.4. They won't go that low even if it is real. Maybe 12.8.
Beans are below looking at 2.8
10-02-2013 09:33 AM
SW Minnesota/NW Iowa. Beans running 45-61 and corn running 165-210. Beans above expectations and at the 5 year average OR better. Corn crop is gonna be big. I see private analysts talking bigger trend line yields for the October 11th report (if we get it).
10-02-2013 11:44 AM
50 north of Milford. There isn't any (OR very little) prevent plant around here. I can think of maybe 200 acres in the four county area around here? For the record, 210 corn around here is considered a very good year. Any beans at 50 or better is also considered very good. Going west into western MN and Eastern SD it is also above the 5 year average and well above expectations. Anybody around here talking lower yields are really just telling they didn't market anything and trying to talk the market up IMHO. I have also heard some way above expected yieilds out of the central/western Iowa are where the prevent plant acreage was more prevelent. 40-50 bushel beans where they thought 30-35 would be it. I know that isn't great for them, but it all adds up.
10-02-2013 11:48 AM
Also, we had no measurable rain in July, but we got 4-6 inches in August. So when the heat got nasty we also had moisture which made for a pretty good mix. Was also down toward Omaha yesterday and things look very good down there. Lots of harvest progress on.
10-02-2013 12:02 PM
Ray, you have my email as you sent me a note a year or two ago. If I wasn't important enough to remember then why does my comments now matter