04-09-2012 01:36 PM
Just sifted through some information from several folks a lot smarter than I am (that's not difficult, though!) about this Southern Oscillation and where we're sitting with La Nina and El Nino. Sounds like there are a lot of signals that La Nina will be ending later this month, but that there's not as much certainty about when El Nino will take over. Maybe August? So, we may be looking at an "ENSO-neutral" period for much of this spring and summer, likely with above-average temps over much of the country and average or below-average precipitation.
So, when you see or hear anything about El Nino & La Nina, is it something you take into account much in your management and marketing? Seems like there's a lot more attention on the topic this year than in past years. What do you think?
Agriculture.com Multimedia Editor
04-09-2012 02:03 PM
Since in the end it effects the weather, but its not the only thing and nobdy can accuratly predict the weather more than a few weeks out I don't give it more than a glance over. We were suppose to have a cold wet winter here in ND because of Lania and the opposite happened because something else overode it so you could predict the switch at the righ timet to El Nino and some other factor could prevent its effects n the climate from happening.
04-09-2012 08:44 PM
04-09-2012 09:25 PM
El Nino would be expected to help make a good crop. La Nina could be not so good. This year, the price projections range from the high $4 tothe high $7. Lots of difference.
If we were sure to have a bumper crop. many of us would sell Dec corn now. If we though we'd have a bust, we'd hold tight. Yes, to me ENSO matters. I wish I understood it better. But as of right now, I'm thinking we're more likely to have a good crop. how good? I don't know.
04-09-2012 09:35 PM
Dry as abone in N E Nebraska ---set some corner posts over the last couple days and the hill tops dry 4 feet and have some bottom ground that is usually wet untill last of May is dry 6 inches---alfalfa and pasture need H2O big time ---