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OptionEye Macro Outlook February 28th

Happy last day of the month. 

 

Good morning. 

 

Overnight sees corn up a penny, beans up almost 4 cents and wheat up a penny. Everything took a little breather yesterday but we are still in the same mode. 

 

The dollar is still pretty strong but a little weaker this morning at 100.99 down .14. 

 

The stock market, up almost 19% from the election night woes, is going to open pretty flat this morning with the S&P future down 1.50 points and the Dow future down just 1 point as everyone sits around waiting for what Mr. Trump has to say this evening. I expect this session will be one of defensive plays and small liquidations. 

 

The 10 year yield is stuck around at 2.36% at 2.35%. 

 

The oil market, after looking like it was about to breach that $55 dollar ceiling, has sunk back into the range again and this morning trades at $53.94 down .11 cents. The gold market is pretty flat as well this morning and trades at $1254.10 up $1.33. 

 

Again, it will be all about Trump this evening. Other than that we get GDP today, Personal Consumption, Core PCE, Wholesale Inventories, the Case/Shiller House numbers, the Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index and the Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index.