07-28-2013 10:39 AM
The next 10 days bringore of the same. The lows dipping down from Canada are big, isobars are spaced close. Late in the week we have another big low drop out of Canada, gets over NY and retrograde a back to the West Southwest. I can tell you right now that the advantage of the hot weather has now been lost. We are back to where we were - a late planted crop that is in jeopardy.
On an unrelated note, I've been under the weather the last few days. Thought I just had a bruise on my leg that was more painful than any bruise I remember. Yesterday morning I couldn't walk, it was just too painful. Went to the emergency room at noon. Ended up it was a bacterial infection of my skin. Condition could've been life threatening if I hadn't gone in. Even then, I was chastised for not coming in soon enough. So now I'm on bed rest for a week. This is killing me with an auction date coming up. At least I felt we were ahead on getting ready - now, maybe not so much.
07-28-2013 12:26 PM
Sorry to hear that you are under the weather. I can sympathize after spending a good portion of my time in waitng rooms and doctor's offices over the past couple of years. Take care of yourself. Nothing is more important than your health.
I have to disagree that rain is immaterial from here on out. There is a lot of yield potential sitting on the table at this time that hinges on rain to fill and finish this crop. We have been real dry over the past month after having a lot of very beneficial rain in June. Our corn is still grass green but another week or two with no rain will probably start trimming things back. I suspect there are areas that are extremely dry that could still benefit from rain as well. It might mean the difference between a poor and very poor crop but nonetheless rain would help. As far as the cool weather goes yes it is a concern. Especially in the late planted areas. Keep in mind though that we have the whole month of August to go yet. We can have a lot of warm or hot weather in August. September too for that matter. This crop is far from made and has some big obstacles to clear yet there is still time for things to straighten out or get worse. If we have anywhere near seasonal temps for August with decent rains the crop could still turn out pretty big. I think it is a given at this point that many of the late planted crops are in trouble. I think that is why we haven't sold off worse than we have. If everything looked good and there weren't acres with serious issues we would be looking at a true record crop. I hope everyone gets what they need weather wise in the coming weeks.
07-28-2013 12:55 PM
07-28-2013 01:03 PM
Get well Jen, always love reading your input. I`m not incredibly bullish here, but I also wouldn`t be selling a danged thing either. I just hope that no one had any big plans for some of this corn planted the 20th of June and beans planted on the 4th of July.
07-28-2013 05:51 PM
Oh, I get what you are saying alright. I'm not hanging too many hopes on the 6 to 10 and 8 to 14 day forecasts. They have been calling for above normal precip for weeks now and there has been only scattered rain. Remember some of the permabulls were always quick to point out that you couldn't rely on those forecasts with rain a few weeks ago. Now that there is some potentially bullish news in those forecasts we are supposed to take them as the gospel? Can't have it both ways folks. Not saying we don't end up below norma temps but at this point I don't think we can rely on long range forecasts to tell us yes or no. They are also calling for above normal precip for a lot of areas too. We'll see.
07-28-2013 06:19 PM
07-28-2013 07:01 PM
07-28-2013 07:15 PM
07-28-2013 07:40 PM