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06-18-2011 01:51 PM
based on rain amounts from the last 7 days across a wide swath of the cornbelt...........and the old adage rain makes grain.........we are headed for 400 bushels real quick.............just a matter of if it takes 2 acres or 4 acres to get that.........the weather pattern the last couple of weeks is taking this corn crop down and not helping a late soya crop (SDS might be a problem now)............
production in 2011 is going to come up short of estimates...........just a matter of if demand is still around..........and when its realized by the sheep............
draw your own conclusions to what market implications this will have...........
06-18-2011 05:38 PM
Mizzou, I have been reading most of your posts this past month and I agree with you more than I disagree. Last Monday's planting progress report stated most crops are planted..whew..yea on the the 13th of June and boom down it goes. None of that makes any sense fundamentality but I do believe as you do, those fundamentals will become front and center when more accurate assesments of this years crop can be made..planted acres, yields. MikeM
06-18-2011 08:47 PM
SDS tends to be worse when it is wet, cold and early planted. We may get SDS , but as many beans were planted later than last year, it may not be as bad as if beans were planted a couple of weeks earlier.
06-18-2011 09:04 PM
South Central mn, in my area 3 inches this afternoon 1/2 Inch last night, 3.5 inches 4 days ago. all replants gone with larger wet holes now. More rain on the way. lots of very dirty corn fields that will not get sprayed for a long time and the corn has closed in the row. Not compaining, just saying.
06-19-2011 10:07 AM
last two years around here April thru June planted soya have had SDS...........the infection takes place early on...........I would say the wet and cooler conditions we are seeing right now are adding up...........
planting date really has nothing to do with SDS other than the coincidence you can get more cool and wet soil conditions on early soya plantings...........we are getting those conditions right now on later planted soya, essentially replicating the potential............
06-20-2011 07:57 AM
2 to 5 inches of rain in our area last week and more on the way, low spots now standing in water and if we get more they will surely drown out. Here is our forecast for the next two days:
RAINFALL TOTALS WILL EXCEED THREE TO FOUR INCHES OVER A
BROAD AREA OF THE UPPER PORTION OF THE MINNESOTA RIVER BASIN. IN
ADDITION TO STREAMS...CREEKS AND RIVERS RISING...EXPECT MANY FARM
FIELDS TO FLOOD IF THESE CONDITIONS DEVELOP. ANY DEVIATION TO THE
EXACT TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...AND EXPECTED HEAVIER RAINFALL
BANDS...WILL LEAD TO FLOODING IN OTHER PARTS OF MINNESOTA.
I haven't been able to spray anything yet and the fields are getting really weedy around here.
06-20-2011 08:29 AM
R I agree 4 days with no rain would be awesome! I got real weedy coprn as well. alos need to get N sidedressed. I may have to spray around ponds very soon. This sucks! Also hay to sut the end of this week it is Ok but short we need sun. Fortunatly the corn isn't yellow but I am begining to think the end is near!