04-24-2013 01:11 PM
The big change in the forecast has to do with the dry 6 to 10 day forecast. Things look much wetter --- especially over the WCB -- on all the weather models this morning .
Yesterday the weather models showed a new strong cold front moving into the Upper Plains and Midwest APRIL 30 - MAY 1. This cold front delayed the warmer and drier 6-10 day interval for a day or two BUT the warmer drier pattern was still there.
The WED morning weather models have now slow down the s cold front and be cause they do so.. the models develop andUpper Low over the WCB portion of the Midwest in the 6-10 day which ends up dropping significant rain over this area.
The 0Z EUROPEAN MODEL has a a large area of 1-3"/ 25 to 75mm over 80% of the WCB.
6Z GFS MODEL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR 6-10 DAY
note the large area of 1-3"/ 25 to 75mm over 80% of the WCB
The 11-15 day is NOT as dry as it was yesterday. It is not as wet as the last several weeks have been but it's also not a completely dry looking map either.
04-24-2013 02:09 PM
thank you for your reporting WXRISK!
ARE YOU ABLE TO PROVIDE LINK TO WEBSITE WHICH INCLUDES THESE 2-3 MODELS WHICH UPDATE TWICE/DAY for us who don't know where you obtain....or is it a product you have to subscirbe for?
thank you so much
04-25-2013 07:22 AM
WX, when I read your post yesterday, I thought, "what are you smoking?"
Get up this morning and the local station just changed the forecast, from warm and dry to, warm, maybe some rain today(got a little last night) and rain chances Monday, Tues, Wed and then turning much below normal temps the end of next week. Guess they got your memo.
I haven't had good experiences with planting corn into ground that the temps drop right after planting. But it would be great to get a window to get fertilizer on. Zero days so far of any field work of any kind. I really can't remember that happening before, but trusting my memory is not always a good thing.
I am beginning to wonder after watching this year after year, if the grain markets just don't sell off every year at this time, because so many trade the seasonals.
04-25-2013 08:27 AM
the thing is WEATHER is NOT based on POPULAR opinion. ... and following ANYTHYING the weather channel says
is always going to be really a bad thing to do .