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Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 11:24 AM
Anyone besides me considering the use of call options to reown 2012 wheat bushels already sold? I needed the revenue of the bushels a couple months ago to pay for inputs for 2013 wheat on some additional acres added to my operation. I think I left money on the table, is a call option the way to recoup on sold bushels?
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 11:43 AM
for your broker
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 11:43 AM
Why would you want to reown $9.25 wheat? Put the price in perspective of the range of prices for the last ten years. $9.25 is in very rare air.
I think a more reasoned approach would be to delay pricing any growing 2013 wheat until more is known about crop conditions coming out of dormancy, especially with the insurance price.
FWIW----The fall winter wheat conditions have very little correlation to the final wheat yield.
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 11:49 AM
Won't even consider pricing 2013 wheat, I know we are a long way from harvest, but if things don't change soon and very soon, there won't be any to price.
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 12:11 PM
I like the cme, sept 013's say $11.90 to $12 costing a dime.
Figure cash wheat to $14 to $16 from now thru 013.
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 01:16 PM
Thanks Rightone,
I will study it more carefully.
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 01:38 PM
"FWIW----The fall winter wheat conditions have very little correlation to the final wheat yield. "
It does if it's dead.
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 01:41 PM
If it is dead then by definition your yield will be zero....... which most certainly will be UNcorrelated to the final yield.
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11-27-2012 04:35 PM
Kstater85 is that another place where the abandoned acres don't make the harvest calculations?
Re: Wheat call options
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11-27-2012 04:37 PM
I'm confused, why would a yield of 0 not correlate to the final yield?


