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01-09-2013 07:34 PM
Last 3 weeks have seen nothing but down market and yet we still have large portions of world experiencing conditions that could further cut wheat supplies. Is this slide based on supply side of wheat or it more melt down in financial markets trying to figure out where world economy heading and where money is going to be invested. Also middle east conflicts having effect on buying of wheat
from us. I guess i thought we would see some movement by now in price of wheat before spring. I think were heading into poorer growing year for wheat than last year because there's no excess moisture for this crop to fall back on. If anything it looks like were heading for another year of drought and this year the final yield numbers could be much more effected. I would appreciate any thoughts where we head from here.
01-09-2013 09:23 PM
My opinion for what it's worth is that the non Ag. Money is coming out of the market before report day. They will jump back in at 11:01 on Friday morning as the report is read. He who has the fastest computer will come out on top.
01-09-2013 10:37 PM
I farm in extreme west central KS. Last year the crop was above average as it went into a pretty good moisture profile and there was some moisture over the winter. I didn't have any wheat last year but I halped a neighbor with harvest and we cut some 50 bu/ac dryland. Thei fall I didn't plant wheat due to the dought and those that did don't have any crop showing in the field due to drought. Last year was 50% above normal production. This year it looks like 0 production.
01-09-2013 10:45 PM
Charts are reliable as far as they have to have their repititious electriocardiograph movement,As far as real fundimental wheat goes,we are in for a potential ride upwards. You have to get out of thw box with all the grain commods and realize demand is more of a possitive than weather happennings.Weather happennings happen every year(almost) but we are actualy havving a real proplem keeping up with demand,there is a new saying in the countryside) it;s called,the new norm.
01-10-2013 11:23 PM
Anytime there seems to be worry over this area or that, an annual event.
Yes, things need to improve for HRW areas, but odds are ,,,,, 2/3 they will just on ramdoness, ?
These are HIGH prices, and round the world incite production.
Mkt may turn as many here think but if SRW didn't get a record swap of buying vs corn prices, where would
SRW stks to use be? Alreay they are very suitable, near 50% as I recall.
vs history,, 50%, yells even in this age, 4.50-5$ chi futures ?
I may be good and wrong.