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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

15% is very much more than a non-zero chance

for DD to pull it off. Current 538 model.

Just like drawing an inside straight and winning the EC with 77K votes in 3 states and losing the popular vote by 2.9%.

Final there was 28.6% but it had been as low as 12% and surged after the 10/28 Comey letter.