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hardnox
Advisor

4 party electoral math

Some talk around that if he gets totally screwed over Sanders might take the Green Party nomination. The advantage would be that they are already on the ballot in the states that matter. I'm nto saying it is true, I'm saying it is interesting.

 

And let's suppose- and this certainly seems realistic- that both Clinton and Trump become ever more unappealing as the election nears.

 

So we end up with a 30-30-30-10 electoral split and it goes to the house.

 

The easy answer is that the republican house finds for Trump. But do they? Probably the ones from districts that strongly supported him as doing otherwise would be political suicide.

 

But it requires a majority to elect and my guess is that there would be 80-100 GOP congresspersons who would find themselves making a very difficult personal political choice.

 

At first blush I'm thinkng Dems might stay closer with Clinton but probably not if the numbers actually played that way the same probably applies.

 

and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice. And if the House of Representatives shall not choose a President whenever the right of choice shall devolve upon them, before the fourth day of March next following, then the Vice-President shall act as President, as in the case of the death or other constitutional disability of the President.[Note 1]

 

Somebody will have to do the math for this on me- off the top of my head I'm thinking it probably favors republicans because low pop red states get the same vot as CA.

 

 

 

 

1 Reply
hardnox
Advisor

Re: 4 party electoral math

Not to the degree I'd imagined- it comes down to the purple states.

 

 

https://www.google.com/search?q=red+state+blue+state+map&biw=1366&bih=628&tbm=isch&imgil=c10e2SPrp_f...