cancel
Showing results for 
Search instead for 
Did you mean: 
Advisor

Before storming the Bastille tonight

remind yourselves that Kasich would have won in a landslide.

 

Therefore, you are to blame, no one else.

 

But as Kahneman says, when people make rash, emotional decisions with their lizard brains, regret is still rare. They just blame someone and move on.

14 Replies
Senior Contributor

BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

Actually, Danny K. and his pal, the late Amos Tversky suggested that people who face monumental choices in their lives tend to prefer a tolerable status quo to any available alternative. The operative part of Khaneman & Tversky' s now famous Prospect Theory is the word, "tolerable."

 

What it means in practice is that people will cling to something they may consider unlikable or even dysfunctional so long as it is familiar. Think of it as the devil they know as opposed to a greater devil hidden in the alternative choice...if that makes sense [Examples of tolerable, yet utterly dysfunctional or unlikeable status quos might include lifetimes spent in loveless/abusive marriages or miserable years spent working in dead-end jobs]?

 

Which of course brings us back to Hillary becoming our next President. She is, of course a lifelong liar and crook. I think most everyone to include her supporters already knew that. But...and this is the really important part...she remains the liar and crook who we all know. Hillary will become our next President tonght because she is "our" devil, while Trump, for all of his notoriety, remains a largely unknown and potentially greater devil we fear even more.

 

In the highly unlikely chance that Trump were to win tonight, it would mean that a very large portion of the voting population has judged our existing status quo to be now "intolerable" and they are therefore willing to take a risk on the unknown devil waiting behind door #2. It would not necessarily mean a better choice, only a different one.

Advisor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/06/05/british-voters-succumbing-to-impulse-irritation-and-a...

 

Should Trump win it would be more like the interwar period in Germany where it bacame fashionable to describe the Weimar Republic and Chancellor Bruning as fascists. They were in fact a troubled constituional republic and an ineffectual leader, but it made the turn to fascism much easier.

 

The circumstances of the white tribe aren't nearly so parlous as what the rofessionals who are aid to manufacture opinion have led them to believe.

 

 

Advisor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

"Donald Trump is psychologically fascinating. He represents a sort of ideal in that he is very rich, and people want to be rich," he said.

"He's a masculine fantasy: lots of money and lots of women. He is not afraid of anything. In the context of politicians who seem to be doing nothing, it feels compelling. He looks strong. He is a bully, and people like bullies," he said.

Prof Kahneman compares the Trump syndrome to the strange response of Americans to rape cases that he studied in the 1980s. Society has a proclivity to blame the victim - in the Trump saga: Mexicans, Muslims, and others - because people subtly conform to the idea that the rapist cannot act otherwise.  

"It is a very interesting phenomenon and it has reached the point where Trump can get away with almost anything. 'The bully is immutable, it is in his nature, that is what he does', and once you convince people that it is normal for you to do that kind of thing, you can get away with things that nobody else could get away with," he said."

 

As suggested elsewhere, Kim Khardashian actually represents far more clever management of reality TV fame and monetization of it. And even though she's made a sex tape it was legal- never accused of a sex crime.

Senior Contributor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

The dirty diaper syndrome.  It may be full of crap, but it is warm and it's my crap.

Senior Advisor

Re: Before storming the Bastille tonight

Kasich is no different than Obama.

Veteran Advisor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

the Germans know all too well how a smooth talking con man who blamed everything on an entire race/religion and then moved on to gays, gypsies, disabled mentally and physically, threw the populace a few goodies by telling them that he was restore the country to it's former greatness.  Any of this sounding familiar yet?  We all know how that worked out!  Beware of what you wish!

Senior Advisor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

Yeah. It's sounds like Hillary.

Veteran Advisor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

Do you ever get tired of acting the fool?  What? You're not acting?? Gee, I knew that!

Senior Contributor

Re: BuyRe: Before storming the Bastille tonight

Schnu,

 

You are walking right up to the line of being a flagarant "Goodwin's Law" violator.

 

Clinton or Trump or Trump or Clinton, regardless of the outcome tonight, the sun will still come up tomorrow morning. We will have chosen a new President. And half of the country who just happened to choose the loser will still be counted among our same old neighbors, our longtime friends, our family members, our co-workers, our fishing, hunting, & golfing chums, and the same bunch of humble church goers we all see each Sunday morning.

 

You know, they are the kind of folks we used to just call, "good American citizens." They won't be any different 12 hours from now. Welcome to the land of the free and the home of the brave.