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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

FLA is the outlier

Extrapolating a 6% improvement for Biden vs. Clinton, which is not scientific.

But it would tend to validate the polls in MI, WI, PA.

It would suggest a real chance of flipping  AZ, NC, GA and even TX.

Would suggest that IA and OH would still lean toward DD.

FLA is always weird and always close, but it ought to be around +5 Biden, not the probable +1.