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For Republicans
in states yet to vote that have open primaries.
Best bang for the buck is to cross over and vote for Bernie.
The math isn't impossible and should he go into the convention with a lead but the superdelegates throw it to Clinton, we'll have civil wars in both parties, not just one.
Every indication from Sanders is that if he should clearly lose he'll support the nominee. Although I'm sure that it will produce some loss of enthusiasm among many and all the strange shifting on a Trump/Clinton race will commence.
That's still the most likely matchup- a case where both parties nominate their most unelectable candidate.
Oh well. As we head into the Great Crisis, I guess that's how it has to be.
My best guess at this point is that Clinton wins that one in a close race and it will be Worst Election Ever. But with little in the way of coattails and we'll see gridlock that makes the Obama years look like an autocracy.
although probably less lethal than any of the non-Trump repubs with a republican congress. With El Donaldo, who knows?
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Re: For Republicans
In my honest opinion (no tricks) Bernie Sanders would be the easiest for a Republican to beat. But when you start to get tricky and put your thumb on the scale it always seems to backfire, nominate Hillary and we`ll probably nominate Trump and no tricks at the convention, the people are deciding this fair and square so far and let`s see Hillary vs Trump in the general and let the chips fall where they may.
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Re: For Republicans
@hardnox wrote:
in states yet to vote that have open primaries.
Best bang for the buck is to cross over and vote for Bernie.
The math isn't impossible and should he go into the convention with a lead but the superdelegates throw it to Clinton, we'll have civil wars in both parties, not just one.
Every indication from Sanders is that if he should clearly lose he'll support the nominee. Although I'm sure that it will produce some loss of enthusiasm among many and all the strange shifting on a Trump/Clinton race will commence.
That's still the most likely matchup- a case where both parties nominate their most unelectable candidate.
Oh well. As we head into the Great Crisis, I guess that's how it has to be.
My best guess at this point is that Clinton wins that one in a close race and it will be Worst Election Ever. But with little in the way of coattails and we'll see gridlock that makes the Obama years look like an autocracy.
although probably less lethal than any of the non-Trump repubs with a republican congress. With El Donaldo, who knows?
Close primary states Cruz does well. In open states the dems are abandoning the felon and socialist for Trump.
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Re: For Republicans
There seems to be crisis in polling veracity right now but historically, head to head future matchup polls are pretty accurate.
That would currently have Sanders slaughtering Trump- probably in almost every state except the High Info states of the former confederacy. And maybe Indiana.
But when you add Trump to the mix both matchups skew funny, in all sorts of ways.
The one thing I'm pretty certain of is that, barring a dem civil war- turnout won't be a problem in a Trump/Clinton race. There will be legions of people out to vote against both.
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Re: For Republicans
Interesting question on how the "evangelical" crowd would skew in a Trump/Sanders matchup.
While Sanders has revealed himself to be the only candidate with any regard for judeo-christian principles, the evangelical right has revealed itself to be mostly an identity cult.
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Re: For Republicans
@hardnox wrote:
Interesting question on how the "evangelical" crowd would skew in a Trump/Sanders matchup.
While Sanders has revealed himself to be the only candidate with any regard for judeo-christian principles, the evangelical right has revealed itself to be mostly an identity cult.
Might be because of the 100s, of 1,000,000s killed by socialism during the twentith century.
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Re: For Republicans
Sanders is described as a "Jewish atheist" Sanders favors a woman`s right to kill her baby...nooot really things that get the Evangelical vote, but that is only my opinion.
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Re: For Republicans
Yet bernie a certifide jew has the most christian like image of the lot! but of course you won't recognize that.
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Re: For Republicans
Here`s Sanders` problem as I see it in the general. Not everyone understands as you do Nox that "Sanders would really lower everyone`s taxes and socialism really isn`t that big scary beast", maybe you could convince everyone of that by November but that is alot of bagage to explain away. IMO even a couple liberal school teachers hauling in $180K would put pencil to paper on Bernie`s taxes and conclude they couldn`t afford him, even if it means putting alot of blue sky utopia on hold a few more years.
Hillary is every Democrat`s bicycle, she isn`t going to generate enthusiasm, but she`s the nag that was brung to the dance. You`ll have to dance once with her, but you don`t have to go home with her.
Assuming the establishment allows Trump to run the gauntlet. The Jebs and Mitts aren`t going to be a problem, they literally are the "1%". Trump`s problem is going to come from the "Hortongortlesons" that were Cruz supporters. Are they going to cast a vote for Trump, against Hillary? Trump has brought in Dems and Independents, but I don`t know if enough to overcome the CruzRubioKasichHucklebeeJindal supporters, that`s Trump`s wild card.
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Re: For Republicans
Aaaaah yah, I think being a atheist is kind of a dealbreaker as far as being God`s chosen ones.