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sdholloway56
Esteemed Advisor

Re: Hey,Chicken Little, the sky is falling.

Don't know about the Permian but in the eastern gas fracking belt, a huge amount of the blown cash was sunk in a long time ago with the race to lock up land leases.

Those costs are sunk but current prices do exceed the marginal cost of drilling w/o the land acquisition costs. Old story, like farming. Any amount over the variable cost and you keep doing it.

I don't know how many years' worth of production are locked up but when that runs out it will require another sustained price spike to keep it going.

As I said, there's really no logical reason to have to go through another one of those cycles. Unless you're a landowner in that belt and missed the first boom.

sdholloway56
Esteemed Advisor

Re: Hey,Chicken Little, the sky is falling.

There are a lot of important things that fossil fuels do other than transportation and thermal fuel.

The conservative position is to conserve some of it.

r3020
Senior Advisor

Re: Hey,Chicken Little, the sky is falling.

Yeah. We know. Peak oil. Gotta mandate windmills.

sdholloway56
Esteemed Advisor

Re: Hey,Chicken Little, the sky is falling.

Nah, just cheaper and better.

Thanks to the Germans and Chinese.