IA and OH probably do lean very slightly to DD

[sdholloway56]

as the aggregate polling suggests. But well within the reach of Biden if turnout is high.

What they do tend to do is reinforce the national and important state polls in MI, WI, PA, NC, GA that show Biden leading. The races in IA and OH weren't close in '16.

[bruce MN]

Biden can win without Texas, but one does have to wonder how the GQP would see a 50.5-49.5 win in Texas nearly identical to Cruz v Beto in ‘18 going forward. 

Not much was ever said about that among RW schmoozers, but it got a lot of D’s cranked up. Also flying under the big radar screen is the very realIstic shot that the Texas Democrats have aT gaining the State Legislature. Redistricting and all that. 

[gh2002gh]

Biden is toast in every swing state.  

USA!