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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

One more story from The Premonition

so......one of the geeks was a data scientist from Sandia Labs who had run further with a science fair project he had helped his daughter with. It was a model of human interaction in a pandemic and how you break the chain of infection through various actions. 

He was blown off by the CDC and numerous academic publications but managed by circuitous route to get through to the geek squad that was working on it in the Bush DHS.

Anyway- sometimes you have to change your opinion when better informed opinions are presented- there were a multitude of factors in the model but just one that, if you altered it sharply, it alone dropped the R0 below 1. That was closing schools immediately. That didn't assume that contacts among children would drop to 0- only by 60% and it still did the trick.

I suppose that if there had been a coherent response (it was beyond incoherent) I imagine we could have gotten by just from closing schools universally, immediately for a while and then only in hotspots as needed.

Or if our national values really were "but what about the children (hint, they aren't)" then could have undertake more severe measures across all society and the economy to keep them mostly open.

 

7 Replies
sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

Basically saying that, yes, vaccines, interventioanl therapies, PPE, testing and isolation (the sort of stuff that the convnetional thinkers at CDC land on) are important once things blow up.

But far less so than stopping the darn thing.

In that regard, the Misinformation Network was both halfway right and 200% wrong.

sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

The good news at this point, I guess, is that given that infection from the native strain among children is often extremely mild or asymptomatic, many more children have had it and recovered than the official counts would suggest.

But one of the most pernicious pieces of misinformation was "yeah, but kids don't get it." They do, just as readily as anyone does, and they spread it to each other and everybody else.

Data suggests that "superspreaders" were responsible for much of the transmission. There isn't sufficient data to say who those people most commonly were, or whether, say, asympotomaic children could be superspreaders. Actually, probably not, but they do spread it and the point is to stop it before a lot of adult superspreaders get it.

gh2002gh
Senior Contributor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

Still trying to sell the fear porn dum@$$?

😆😆😆

 

https://t.me/JustDudeChannel/4806

sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

Lol.

From folks who believe they’re being microchipped.

r3020
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

From the folks who still think 911 was an inside job.

sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

Yeah, I know a few.

But I don't know what it was other than it was something different than the Official Road Runner Physics Conspiracy Theory.

sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: One more story from The Premonition

Really only a weak circumstantial case against people who blocked a criminal investigation and reluctantly approved of a Potemkin commission to rubber stamp the CIA story.

That story was primarily based on the testimony of a guy who was waterboarded 90+ times and was mentally destroyed in the process. 

With the exception of the contractors who ran the torture program you won't find any expert who will tell you anything extracted in that manner is worth a nickel. Most will tell you it is even worse- they'll tell you exactly what you want them to.