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Senior Advisor

Probabilistic forecasts

good discussion at Nate Silver’s Twitter.

17 pct chance of winning doesn’t mean DD will lose, it means he has that chance of winning.

I think that’s approximately Clinton’s high point in ‘16 although odds were tightening going into the election.

You must recall that DD lost the popular vote by 3 pct and drew an inside straight with 77k votes in 3 states.

We knew we were in deep trouble when his first move was to attempt to alter that history.

The takeaway should have been that the election strongly suggested bipartisan outreach was needed in order to govern.

That is not possible in his disordered personality.