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Senior Advisor

Puxatawney Phil predicts

6 weeks until B117 rips us up if we don’t sustain containment behavior.

Should be taking the deaths 7MA below 3K shortly, perhaps never to return. That will be on account of working through the hospitalizations backlog and vaccination coverage of the most vulnerable.

But we could see record case numbers by later in March.

BTW- largest case growth is in 30-49 demo- parents, I assume.

1 Reply
Senior Advisor

Re: Puxatawney Phil predicts

It comes down to how widespread the variant was a month ago. Nobody knows. Denmark is now sequencing every case and they are finding the B 117 has quickly become almost totally dominant.

Projected U.S. COVID-19 fatalities - sensitivity analysis