Richard North Patterson
History doesn't suggest good odds for a Great Power that's this far into decline.
I saw the critical element falling apart through most of my adult life- it started almost immediately after the Fall of the Wall.
The critical element was, I think, the concentration of wealth/precarity of the middle class- actually the same thing- rich people got "your" money, for the most part- the data makes that glaringly obvious. Of course they're going to redirect your anger at immigrants, trade etc. Those are real issues but not the primary ones.
They spent a lot of money to divide us into warring tribes while they're stashing the loot.