Senior Contributor
Posts: 433
Registered: ‎04-09-2013

Slow down folks!

[ Edited ]

Contrary to the learned opinions of the "best & brightest" now employed in our vaunted intelligence communities (i.e.CIA, DIA, NSA, and FBI), I do not believe the North Koreans have yet to achieve nuclear fission. I think what they did a few years ago was merely simulate an underground nuclear explosion to fool the west [Think large explosion using ample amounts of ordinary nuclear medical waste products.].


Nor do I think the North Koreans have anything close to an accurate intercontinental ballistic missile, much less one capable of delivering a nuclear payload.


On the other hand, if you were Kim Jong un and saw what happened to the two other nuclear wannabe (and now deceased) dictators in Libya and Iraq; what course of action would you pursue right now in light of America's threats? You do not have to be an NK homer to understand game theory.
Remember: 1. Soviet pilot Victor Belinko's Foxbat  25 defection to Japan back in the mid 1970s. After all of our intelligence experts talk of the unbeatable, super fighter F-25, The aircraft quickly revealed upon inspection to be little more than a 1950s era piece of flying junk including rivets and vacuum tubes, but powered by enormous engines.


2. The fall of the Berlin Wall and how none of second to none intelligence experts predicted the event within even 24 hours of it actually occurring.


3. The systematic and repeatedly gross over-estimations made over decades by our stellar intelligence communities about the economic strength the old Soviet Union. In hindsight, they were always completely correct right up until the point they were proven hopelessly and so consistently wrong after the USSR disintegrated.


4. Finally, remember the arrogant CIA Director George Tenant's confident "slam dunk" promise to George W. Bush about Iraq's Weapons of Mass Destruction.


Go slow folks. Please go slow. North Korea is not yet the existential threat that all of our neocons in Washington seem to think. It just isn't.

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