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Spain
daily death tolls still rising with 846 yesterday, even as Italy maybe plateaus at a high level.
We’re about 2 weeks behind them. Hope we can keep the death rate substantially below theirs- which are around 10 pct.
If we’re lucky, might begin to flatten cases out around half a mil in this round but then the daily death count will tick along for a few weeks.
A few $T in debt, a wrecked economy and less than 50k deaths would be a “huge win.”
I can’t be too confident that we’ll be lucky.
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Re: Spain
this is a good explanation of how the numbers lag the actual infection.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mCa0JXEwDEk&feature=youtu.be
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Re: Spain
Yeah, I worry a lot about our half-### shutdown vs. the Wuhan example.
Almost certain we won't see infections fall off that quickly, just hope it is flattening.