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Senior Contributor

Whatcha gonna do?

like patiently trying to explain to farmers before the election about how the world, agriculture etc. works and why those guys at the commodity organizations might be right to be (politically) mildly expressing some concerns.

Actually turned out worse that those guys would have imagined but no point in arguing with people who have something else driving them.

They're out there every day, hollerin' for the white knight to come and lop off another limb, cuz they're gonna kick some ***** (they aren't, they're gonna get more lopped off and feel it for may years).

Wasted breath.

 

 

 

10 Replies
Senior Advisor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

Has to be frustrating to be surrounded by such stupidity and incompetence. Well preach it brother. Pound it into their thick heads. Remind them daily of their ignorance. Maybe one day they'll get some smarts.

Honored Advisor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

You`re a good one to ignore questions that would help you understand, Nox.  But here goes, has China been a all around good trading partner to the US?  If China buys beans from Brazil, can Brazil afford to run an annual trade deficit of $400 Billion...or will China give Brazil a sweetheart deal?  A deal they can`t seem to give us, apparently 30 years of taking advantage of us in the past doesn`t account for any goodwill with them.  They want all the marbles or wait until the 2020 election to make a deal with a new spineless president.

Senior Contributor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

That is exactly what cost the dims the last election. Doing a fine job there again ddgfs. Keep up the good work.

Senior Contributor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

Our spiny POTUS who played a billionaire on reality TV and has lost more of other peoples' money than anyone other than Bernie Madoff signed a "replacement" of the "worst deal ever" that was so similar to the last one that you had to use a magnifying glass to tell the difference.

And actually, House D's unlikely to ratify it- they were the the only bloc that opposed it in large numbers originally.

Which is a problem- MX and CA are our #1 and #3 Ag trading partners.

Makin' Brazil, FSU great again.

 

Senior Contributor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

I was pretty lukewarm on TPP as a matter of principle but that would have absolutely been the best course for "agriculture".

For folks wearing their patriot dress up outfits today, even more geopolitically vis a vis China.

The current "strategy" is a loser on both counts.

BTW, do you think that Trump had his man crush Kim shoot off some missiles yesterday for a distraction?

 

Senior Contributor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

Want me to pick you up and drop you at a shrink when I go to town?

Honored Advisor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

Like I`ve said ...many times agriculture is small potatoes, that $400 trade DEFICIT with China would equate 100s of times the relatively small amount of beans they`ve bought (1 billion bushel of beans @ $10= $10 Billion) . 

I know it`s not difficult to convince farmers that they are victims and maybe if lies about trade are repeated often enough you can peel off a few MAGA hats to the democratic socialist side.  But anyone that went beyond 5th grade math has no excuse for being stupid. 

The ante or admission price to do business and have China buy beans is way to high if you DO THE MATH.   I doubt that Brazil has the wealth to export in order to buy their beans, Brazil is a "rebound girlfriend"  Xi is waiting for November 2020.

Xi is in a bit of pickel (China ASF notwithstanding needing less beans) the minute Xi inks a lucrative bean purchase agreement, the CBOT soybean futures jump $2 overnight.   So, regardless, he can`t dive head first into a deal...but to "do math" again, 1 Billion bushel of beans X $2 extra = $2 Billion....pencil dust to a country running a $400 billion trade surplus.

Senior Contributor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

Bring me a policy that has a chance of working or isn't actually counterproductive and I'm all ears.

The Cult does not do policy- it does feelings. Generally bitter resentment.

 

Honored Advisor

Re: Whatcha gonna do?

All China has to do is agree to cut their trade surplus with us from $400 billion to $200 billion and trump would chalk it up as a "win" .  Farmers would have watermelon grins, because that might entail China buying 500 million more bushel of beans and some pork.   China would still be getting the loooong end of the stick.   That policy is workable, if China didn`t DEMAND all the marbles...they musta flunked kindergarten.