cancel
Showing results for 
Search instead for 
Did you mean: 
Highlighted
Senior Contributor

more good news, we can all agree

https://spectator.us/stanford-study-suggests-coronavirus-deadly-flu/ 

The Stanford study suggests that COVID-19 might not, after all, be more deadly than flu — although, as Ioannidis notes, the profile is very different: seasonal flu has a higher IFR in developing countries, where vaccination is rare, while COVID-19 has a higher death rate in the developed world, thanks in part of more elderly populations.

11 Replies
Highlighted
Senior Contributor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

(The Stanford study suggests that COVID-19 might not, after all, be more deadly than flu — although, as Ioannidis notes, the profile is very different: seasonal flu has a higher IFR in developing countries, where vaccination is rare, while COVID-19 has a higher death rate in the developed world, thanks in part of more elderly populations.)

Probably won't be long before Trump will be getting blamed for shutting down our Country and economy unnecessarily.

 

Highlighted
Senior Advisor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

Around 1% appears to be where the preponderance of scientific opinion is landing. About 10X seasonal flu. Plus a lot of damage to survivors.

But that's very highly dependent on who got it.  Higher risk people did, on average, work harder to avoid it. You've got the equivalent of spring breakers on the positive test side there, the vast majority of whom only suffered flu like symptoms- but will spread it. If we were like say, Italy, where millions of elderly live with their children and grandchildren, it would be higher.

Since we've established that the economic damage was mostly from caution about the virus and not from government shutdowns, now we have to get back to justtheflu and blame the MSM and durn scientists.

 

Highlighted
Senior Advisor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

The emergence of a rare related acute syndrome in children is a real problem. 

Even if it is quite rare it will have a steep psychological impact on schools reopening in the Fall.  

If numerous parents won't vaccinate their children on account of miniscule risk to them- and at great risk to vulnerable populations- then we already know that rationality is not the coin of the realm.

We'll see where the science goes on that.

 

Highlighted
Senior Advisor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

Estimates of where we might be on herd immunity.

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1263539321614843913/photo/1

Highlighted
Senior Contributor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

Estimate, everytime they actually test a population they are surprised at how many test positive for the antibody.

Highlighted
Senior Contributor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

Btw in case you didn't know italy has the oldest average population in Europe.  Which is what most attribute their losses to.

Highlighted
Senior Advisor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

Think about the math on that.

Highlighted
Senior Contributor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

And more vood news is that their will be some percent of the population that for some yet unknown reason just will not get it.  

There were people on the one cruise ship that shared cabins with people infected for many days and never got it.  Also I know someone on the Roosevelt who bunked with infected people.  He was put in quarantine, never tested positive for the virus or antibodies.  Cleared quarantine, went back to the ship, bunk mates again tested positive, he went back to quarantine still he never tested positive and no antibodies.

Highlighted
Senior Advisor

Re: more good news, we can all agree

As far as “the economy” goes you aren’t going to convince enough sheeple to save it anyway.

All you’re doing is ensuring that we have a long half assed experiment in science and economics.

And there isn’t a good off ramp once you’re on the Rona highway and trying desperately to distract from that doesn’t help.