sdholloway56
Senior Advisor
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11-11-2020
10:52 AM
seems to prove out, fairly roughly
that daily deaths in each state will be around 2% of the case count 3 weeks prior. And thus in the whole as well.
That's as compared to 5-6% in the first surge, testing limits and other variables acknowledged.
Still, we're approaching 4X the daily cases (testing too much!) and presumably will top the April death rate later in Nov.