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Advisor

ASF , expect 30 to 50% less pork

Production in China for 2019.

its a Toughie....Vietnam for instance has broke w 330 ASF cases in just the past 3 weeks.

 

The China kill off this year is expected to be 300 to 500million hogs due to the African Swine Fever.

 

It's going to take quite a bunch of other proteins to fill e chinese gap now.

 

matter of fact one needs all the fingers and toes counting that much in beef. LoL.

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4 Replies
Veteran Advisor

Re: ASF , expect 30 to 50% less pork

You   mean  ! / 2   -  2 / 3 rd's   of  China's  hog  crop  -  ?   

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Honored Advisor

Re: ASF , expect 30 to 50% less pork

Some Bigshots in the Farm Bureau just got back from a China trip and were going to visit a cattle feedlot, but it got cancelled because of a outbreak of hoof & mouth disease. So they have all sorts of problems.

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Advisor

Re: ASF , expect 30 to 50% less pork

1/3 to 1/2 less pigs in China by the end of 2019.

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Advisor

FMD or foot and mouth disease tends

To follow ASF....seems like Every ASF break is followed immediately by FMD.

 

i think the 2 diseases are somehow Closely Related.

matter of fact I'd Bet on it.

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