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jrsiajdranch
Veteran Advisor

Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

All the grain guys are wondering when the price of feed will cause rationing well it has happened. just like below where cih88 and I were talking about the heifer numbers we can now see that we are killing this cow herd. this is a huge number guys the week ending Dec. 4 had a one week kill total of 61,288 head!   That is huge!  over a year that would be 3.4 million head.  WOW can you say higer milk prices ahead?

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22 Replies
Artifice
Veteran Contributor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

Thanks for the heads up.

With economics so bad, how can 6$  corn and 13 beans NOT be rejected.

 

I need to bring my cow slaughter data up to date.

Pessimism itself becomes a market factor.

(soros)

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jrsiajdranch
Veteran Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

Think about this Arti......  WHile there are bigger numbers for the weeks slaughter available in our recent past most if not all of those numbers came at a time of some form of CWT buyout!  What we have now is pure unadulterated culling by Dairyman.  And at the same time as milk prices are at historically high levels!  Good time to be a trucker at least you will be busy!

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k-289
Senior Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

Maybe the weather in California will cause some production problems---a cattle feeder use to say when it was below freezing he had the same amount of concrete as everyone else--his business was very low tech although it weathered all markets--quite a fellow::

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jrsiajdranch
Veteran Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

K I got lots of poor mans concrete in the winter!  THose Cali boys are sure getting it I would think it would be real hard on the cattle in those dirt lots.  SHould be a help. JR

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nwobcw
Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

For the last 2 years at the cattle auction I attend I've noticed all the beef heifers sold.  Some weeks heifers are 40% of the feeders sold.

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jrsiajdranch
Veteran Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

NW a couple weeks ago the total slaughter for feeder animals was 43% heifers! you don't grow a cow herd with those kinda sell offs.

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nwobcw
Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

Yup, must be same all over.   I got 3 hefs going soon.

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nwobcw
Advisor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

From the looks of the weather forecast I'm gonna lose my 2 acre concrete loafing area by Thursday.

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rightone
Veteran Contributor

Re: Holy Cow Slaughter batman!

JR,
Beef cow slaughter will remain high ( for several reasons ).

Dairy cow slaughter numbers may stay high too...however that may not change the number of cows on the milk lines much.

Sexed semen and high burnup rates on the mega dairy / corporate dairy cows.

Alot of those having 70% to 80% hiefer calf crops now...thus enables higher cull / burnup rates too.

Theoretically the dairy industry should be able to cull almost HALF of their cow numbers annually now and not effect cow numbers on the milk lines.

Times changed.

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