2010 Yield Results

[SouthWestOhio]

Montgomery County Ohio, 151 bu/ac 18%, 30 acre field that produced 190 last year.

[marketeye]

These yield results were reported this week:

IL:  Mowequa (South of Decatur) 5 relatively small yields done…202,198,179, 160,160…the 160 fields were down corn…simple avg. 180..dry…yr in yr out this is about avg..they are hoping/expecting the later stuff to be a tad better..most of the corn in this area was planted in a 3 week window.  Elevator I work with took in 60,000 bu yesterday…testing about 21…some diplodia, but not burdensome. Pittsfield ill took in 8 loads at 24%..yesterday     

•       OH:  Corn near Dayton lighter soils, but well watered all year...194 bu/acre versus 175 average

•       TN:  Near Memphis  TN – the driest spot on earth – 5-30 dryland.  50 bu irrigated.  About as expected.  50+ miles from Memphis, crops materially better in general but spotty.  Considering we had the driest, hottest summer in memory, it could have been worse. Overall I’d say about as expecting. Harvest picking up speed quickly. Rice yields excellent across the board but its early.


•       IN:  Famer started shelling just north of Greencastle, IN (Putnam County). Corn yielded 223 bu/acre at 23%. Last year, the field averaged 209 bu/acre. These are some tremendous yields for this particular area and soil type, especially for an 104 day corn.

•        

•       MS:  Greenville MS -- just talked to man north of Greenville that may ave. over 70 on Irrig beans several thousand acres.


 
Sullivan Illinois – 104 day corn planted April 1st, running 18-20% moisture, 200-210 bu/acre dry (better than expected)

Said a lot of combines starting to nose in down there this morning, and that the corn is definitely drier than they thought. Sounds like by Wed/Thurs most of Shelby Co will be starting.


W Kentucky 175-200 bpa…with expectations…10-20 bpa less than last year

 
Irrigated Bootheel corn for two of my guys going 220 - 240 bu..  Alfotoxin seems a problem in places and isn't exclusive to just dryland corn.  Kind of confusing re. the Alfotoxin.  Dryland corn in extreme N.W. TN is 175-180.  They missed several rains in late July/early August.  All good test weights.  
***
Near Memphis TN -- 7 trailers and no alfatoxin trouble but hear neighbors have been turn down at elevator. good dirt 150 to 180 bu and poor 100bu maybe. this is a little worst than he expected and a little below ave. He ave.170bu last year. soybeans turning fast.
Will have cotton ready to pick in early Sept.
Personal opinion. Farmers are like everyone else. Have a Great year and expectations go too high for following year. Beginning to feel a sense of reality from a hot,dry August.
***
Good friend 60 miles South-southwest of Memphis is shelling corn. mostly irr. and thinks he will be off at least 5% because of heat ( shelling 190 ave. at this time). Irr. beans holding up very good. Dry land beans slipping, but still about ave. ( my comment is bean plants will keep a good look even after they have started aborting pods.). Elevators want their new crop corn to blend.Alfitoxin not a problem, at least so far.


FYI, a field of very short maturity beans were ran late last week north of Marion Ohio @ 62 bpa




Charleston, Illinois –  Planted April 1st, running 20% moisture, 200-210 bu/acre dry (10-15 bu better than expected)



Oakland, Illinois – Planted April 1st, running 22% moisture, 200 bu/acre dry (20 bu better than expected)


 
 
Greenville, Ms  180 acres, 84 bu

Indianola, Ms 100 acres 78 bu

Inverness, Ms  70 acres 81 bu

Large farmer sw of lafayette tried some late yest. Too wet 24-25 pct yield est at 210. Hard to believe but he was disappointed. This was abt 10 bu less than what similar farms produced last year.


 
 
Moweaqua, IL  40 acres, 202 , 10-15 below last year

Just talked to an elevator in Memphis:  Corn yields running from 70 to 190 and aflatoxin an issue.  Early bean yields from 15-35 bpa, well below average.
***
Famer started shelling just north of Greencastle, IN (Putnam County). Corn yielded 223 bu/acre at 23%.   
Last year, the field averaged 209 bu/acre. These are some tremendous yields for this particular area and soil type, especially for an 104 day corn.
***

Near Memphis TN – the driest spot on earth – 5-30 dryland.  50 bu irrigated.  About as expected.
 
50+ miles from Memphis, crops materially better in general but spotty.  Condsiering we had the driest, hottest summer in memory, it could have been worse. Overall I’d say about as expecting. Harvest picking up speed quickly.
 
Rice yields excellent across the board but its early.
****
 
Talking to an elevator in northeast LA this morning. Bean yields much better than expected.  Irrigated avg. 60 and dryland avg. 40.  Last year this was 50 and 25 respectively.  Early rains, then dry but the late rains is what boosted yields.
***

Greenville MS -- just talked to man north of Greenville that may ave. over 70 on Irrig beans several thousand acres.


corn near Dayton Ohio ...lighter soils, but well watered all year...194 bu/acre versus 175 average

 
 
Subject: YIELD FW: corn wayne county IL

Hills running 119
Bottoms 205
Flat ground 186
Moisture 18-19%
 
About the same as last year.


6 yield checks this week on the north side of Des Moines.

The results were:

               BPA        T.W.        Mst.        Location
               148        51.8        32.5        Slater
               152        52.2        32.0        Slater
               151        51.6        31.8        Huxley
               167        52.0        31.0        Huxley
               186        56.6        30.9        Cambridge           
               199        52.0        31.8        Elkhart
Average         168
You can probably figure on lowering these yields by 5 to 10% due to ponding in the fields.

All of the above fields had 210 pounds of fall applied "N" in various forms.  The field with the 56.6 test weight also got 30 pounds of spring applied "N" using 28% when it was about four feet tall.   

Mike

[jrsiajdranch]

Mike Our yield test should be done tomorrow then I will tell you what CS yielded.  Of course where it is good it is awesome but the drowned out spots really hammer the yields. JR

[jrsiajdranch]

Well this is what I know So far the BMR corn is going about 18 ton per acre.  About 60% moisture.  Quality is good I thought it was at least 22 ton silage.  Thats why we wiegh. Oh BTW salesman agronimist says this was 190 BU. corn for grain.  That BMR just isn't tonning up this year. One of the problems with the stuff. JR

[marketeye]

Carrollton, Illinois:

Farmers all around the area are harvesting corn today. One farmer reported 170 bu./acre, hoping for 185. He fall-applied his anhydrous, on this particular field. He only was able to get one-third of his anhydrous on and he thinks his yield is lower because of it. He has fields that had spring-applied anhydrous and hopes those do better.

Though soybean harvest hasn't started in this area, yields are expected to be pretty good. Soybean harvest is in full swing in the Missouri Bootheel. So far, yields are real good in that area, according to my contacts.

Also, one farmer near Bloomington, IL says he will begin corn harvest this week.

Mike

[marketeye]

A market analyst reported this morning that he was in Wisconsin over the weekend.  "Sweet Corn ears were smaller than I expected to see for the date, even up there.  The Corn in general looked good buyt I did see some nitrogen leaching signs.  One field was getting cut for silage, but only one.  Beans were turning color.  I think the yield is an open question and so the market holds pretty well," he says.

Mike

[northcorn]

Mike tell your Analyst if he does not know the differance between the genitics and what they were trying to achive in field corn and sweet corn he needs to go back to school.

Here's a hint  Not one advancement made to sweet corn in the last 30 yrs. was made to advance yield it is all done for taste and shelve life.

BTW does he know if he was looking at first crop, short season crop or late season crop sweet corn some of the sweet corn is not planted until after July 1 and is used to extend the processing window.

But then again I think you analyst is trying to get out the info that best serves his purpose

BTW this "new" site still sucks

[vrbuck]

tara farms is the name i was told you use at another site.

[marketeye]

northcorn, I'm not sure the analyst was trying to say that since the Wisconsin sweet-corn looks weak that field-corn is going to have poor yields. He's been in the grain marketing business a long time. So, he's smart enough to know using sweet-corn as a guage for yields is not the answer. And maybe he's not a fundamental trader. Maybe he doesn't know or care what field-corn looks like. Maybe he doesn't know or care what soybeans look like. If you learn anything about marketing, you should know most of the players around the grain marketing table, you are sitting at, don't know or care what grain looks like. Do you realize the index funds, hedge funds, and trend-following funds have more than enough money to buy all of the U.S. corn, soybeans, and wheat crops combined and still have money left? I'll guarantee you most people involved with those funds don't know a lick about farming.

My point, don't be thrown off by some guy talking about what he is seeing as he visits some part of the Corn Belt. If you're focusing on that, you may be waisting your time.

On your site comment, I hope you can find what you like and enjoy that part. We are continuing to improve the site. We appreciate your feedback. Know that many are enjoying the new features. If you have a question or a concern about how to get around in the new site, give me your phone number and I will personally walk you through it. I've been doing this with others and it seems to help.

Thanks,

Mike

[hardnox604008]

Hi North,

Seems to me that the key to this corn crop will be yields north of I 80.

I was in MI last week, people told me it would be a state record by a fair bit and my observations wouldn't argue agains it. MI isn't a big player but I think it is perhaps indicative of the potential.

Perhaps it is a matter of whether it is a big record or not so big?

Wondering of your observations- ND/SD are now both much bigger players than MI and put together bigger than IN.

Best, h