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Honored Advisor

Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

Farmers are having their "grower" meetings locally this week.  Finishing the initial crop acre choices and trying to move on.......... one way or another...

 

Point is ........... I am listening to more "outside the box" talk than ever.

 

At first I was concerned, tough decisions can be great or not...

But It has been going on for a couple of years and I am just catching on.

 

I used to be able to raise good wheat also............ becoming a distant memory.  --- but 40 bushel wheat used to be something to be proud of back when Russia used to buy from us.

 

Things are changing here on the sw fringe.  water or not...... cotton is bowling us over.... (it sounded better than it looks on paper)   Not just in sw ks but all across the southside and I heard about grower meetings in the central kansas area...  It wasnt a great cotton year cool and wetter than normal but the yields were good it we can go by bail count... not sure how all this stuff is going to get through the gins in an area that was 80 miles too far north most of my life.....   Those round bail strippers are a big improvement for faster harvest and less labor...then much easier to transport to distant processing.

 

Soybeans exploded last year in ks -- in september on a drive from Emporia to Elkhart I saw more soybean acres than milo or corn acres..... Probably all the highway 50 farmers conspired to mix me up..... but even with $9  beans, they are still on the talk this year....... ( water reductions, and expensive pumping costs, along with sub $4 prices even at feedlots are taking their tole.)  

I really don't think this talk is about making money but not loosing so much......... or ............... lowering costs to be profitable.......  and seeing some great yields on trial runs.

Keep in mind you could drive across the state and not see either of these crops(west of emporia) a few years ago....  

 

I know Iowa expects every one else to do the changing.......... but you should try it ...... its refreshing....Smiley Happy

 

 

 

 

 

 

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8 Replies
Veteran Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

Interesting  -   read   -   -   -

   

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Honored Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

Delaney Howell on Market to Market told about a guy ...or maybe it was Sue Martin on USFR that went from Iowa down to Texas and saw a lot of unharvested corn and bean acres it kind of that area that will be presumably abandoned, wonder if that does get cropped if it`ll go to beans?   And then with this cold snap I wonder how winter wheat fares, of course the wheat crop is killed off 9 times every year  Smiley Happy   

 

Here in Iowa this year is my "bean year" in the rotation and I intend to stick with it although I really hate raising beans.   I don`t have the money to go corn on corn and with everyone else going more corn, it might not be bad to be a contrarian.   If I won the lottery, I`d raise only corn every year   Smiley Happy

 

I will be seeding more hay and it sounds like I`m not the only Iowan.

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Veteran Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

In Iowa, corn and soybeans are all that make sense year in and year out.  Hay is too variable - when you have it so does everyone and if your out so are the rest.  Plus fewer cows to eat it.

 

Anything else in Iowa is a niche crop.  Wheat.  Christmas trees.  My mischanthus.  Oats.  Timothy.  Flowers.  Vegetables.  Only a little money in any of them and you have to be first in line.

 

Even specialty corn and soybeans doesn't work most of the time.

 

Grow the most you can and try to figurer out how to market it better than others.

 

And hope the fringe areas switch right for our benefit.

Honored Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

I remember Iowa when those crops (beans and corn) needed livestock to stay in business.
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Veteran Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

Seems  some  folks  are  still  optimistic  at  the  land  auctions  - ? 

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Honored Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

Not down here..... Land auctions have been happening but nearly none have been concluded....... Probably 100+ quarter sections in the last 5 months ended in "no sale".  The owners backed out on the bids they got in nearly every case.  So far....  Lots of ground looking for 2012 prices. ( I am still waiting for some sort of legal action that holds Real estate agents and sellers responsible for their advertised commitments)  So far the advertisers are making $$.

 

Two factors in sw ks..

 

1.  The folks who finance themselves bit off sizeable chunks of expensive ground the last 5 years and have backed off.....

 

2.  Credit lenders have trimed their limits....... a little fear of water issues...... So loans for Irrigated ground are now limited to 10 yr notes in case the water goes away....35%+ of the land in an 100 mile radius is seriously limited water compared to 20 years ago....  

 

Some with poor water are feeling like cotton is gonna be their answer.   Like stopping for ice cream on the way to buy insulin.   Heart

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Highlighted
Veteran Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

 S.  Farm  article  is  interesting  -   ?

 

Back  to Location,  Location,  Location  -  ?    

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Honored Advisor

Re: Acre changes and adjustments for 2019

always has been in ks...... Nebraska has a bigger and shallower supply   

 

What gets me is ...... we along the southern border.... the one without a fence..............  in ks......... with pretty decent dry land production.  Knowing where we had good water by testing in the 60's,  had chosen to not pump and maximize production until the state threatened to stop all new development by law.....under its first in time= first in right law structure......... creating a loose it or use it time period...... which also included up to a 10 year "proving" time frame where you can pump all you can to set your maximum level for your water right...... (if you pump just what you need then that is all you get.)  ------ we know bad bureaucratic authoritarianism....

 

Now the point..... who are the first to step up and lobby the state to shut down the use of water rights........... the folks who used the most water and started pumping in the 50's and lost volume in recent years.  Your neighbor over in the area that has been pumping nearly unregulated for 60 years.  Who thinks if the new wells can be shut off his might last longer.   They have a senior right and want those junior rights stopped.

 

Farmers are selfish trash, too.

 

Kansas is a mine field for Land investment...

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