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jennys_mn
Veteran Advisor

5- 14 Weather Update

Good Morning!  Let's start with the overnight lows:

 

US: Actual Low Temps

 

 

The western 2/3rds of ND was undera freeze warning last night.  Lots of the Western Northern Tier was under a frost advisory.  It's cold.  It's wet.  The culprit is still this:

 

10 Day forecast of 300 mb winds and heights from the GFS model

 

 

A Jet Stream and Low Pressure systems that continue to drop out of Canada, bringing the cold polar air with it.

 

The biggest weather item to watch is this eight days from now:

 

10 Day forecast of 300 mb winds and heights from the GFS model

 

 

The jet stream drops so low into the US, that it creates a "Cut Off Low" pressure system.  We had one of these a few weeks ago, and it stuck around forever.  In  ten days, it looks like this:

 

10 Day forecast of 300 mb winds and heights from the GFS model

 

 

This is going to turn into a battle between the High in Montana and the cut off low in the SW.  The nice thing is that the combination of these two air masses is going to force the Jet Stream back up into Canada for a while, and allow this to happen 10 days out:

 

10 Day forecast of 1000 mb (near-surface) temperature and wind from the GFS model

 

 

finally, some warm air pushes into the midwest, and along with the lack of significant storm fronts over the next ten days, should allow us to get planting again.  But still, the planting will be hampered by small systems that are produced and move across the US.  The rainfall from these should be minimal.  For you guys in the plains still hoping for rain, again, not a lot for you in the near term, but that cut off low in the SW could offer you some showers longer term.

 

Jen

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4 Replies
jennys_mn
Veteran Advisor

Re: 5- 14 Weather Update

A quick evening update. All of ND, West 1/4 of MN, and the NE 1/3 of SD is under a freeze warning again tonight. I haven't looked at the updated weather maps tonight - I'll do a new update tomorrow.

Jen
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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: 5- 14 Weather Update

Isn't global warming wonderfull?

 

This is exactly what the global warming crowd wants..

 

How's food production work in cold weather?

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Shaggy98
Senior Advisor

Re: 5- 14 Weather Update

Hey Jen, you might add Central Kansas to your freeze warning list because all this drought and missing nice rains is really starting to frost my A$$.  Smiley Frustrated

c-x-1
Veteran Advisor

Re: 5- 14 Weather Update

Freeze warning north - Frost warn-south into NE -- source=NOAA.   sorry, can't seem to make image shorterSmiley Sad

 

This image displays watches, warnings, statements and advisories issued by the National Weather Service

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