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Senior Advisor
Posts: 2,645
Registered: ‎11-02-2010
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90-95K vs 65-75K

kernel depth will have a huge impact on final yield when this is all said and done.

Combines will tell the story.
Senior Advisor
Posts: 1,060
Registered: ‎05-20-2010
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Re: 90-95K vs 65-75K

[ Edited ]

What is the story MT? Farmers planted too many corn acres again, and the weather just refused to do enough damage to matter? Kind of what it is looking like so far. 

 

Bottom line is the rain event forecast for Thur/Friday in IA is all the marbles. Today's low must hold. The setup is bullish, we just tested the breakout at 3.83, so let's see what happens. 

 

With the wheat bull market being over, it will be tough for corn/beans to rally IF this rain event fulfills or exceeds expectations, it is July 17th with no moisture stress right? :-)

Senior Advisor
Posts: 2,645
Registered: ‎11-02-2010
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Re: 90-95K vs 65-75K

IA?????

Based on latest push this dome may push it all into MN and WI

We shall see

I've had 3-7 inches of rain in the last 18 days, but I bet I can show you some pretty stressed looking corn and beans out my back door by Saturday afternoon.

Heat kills yield regardless of moisture.
Senior Advisor
Posts: 2,645
Registered: ‎11-02-2010
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Re: 90-95K vs 65-75K

FWIW

There is at least one model run suggesting 10-12 inches of rain just north of Des Moines in the next 10 days. Talk about smoking crack.
Honored Advisor
Posts: 15,039
Registered: ‎05-13-2010
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Re: 90-95K vs 65-75K

Forecasts are stepping up the predicted rain around here to be "heavy at times" "if" that does occur (without damage) that would be the cat`s meow and just in the nick of time.

Senior Advisor
Posts: 2,645
Registered: ‎11-02-2010
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Re: 90-95K vs 65-75K

Hey time. Maybe the weather is doing more damage than thought.

Checked some mid April corn today. Pushing into roastin ear stage already. Heat is pushing too hard and I've got a full profile. Still a touch of color in between the rows this AM.

We are sub 160 at this point and maybe sub 155 soon. Keeps this up into August and we go sub 150.

At some point the market will care. And as stated a fair amount already, combines will really drive this rally.

At this point we haven't even had a rally.

As mentioned. A watched pot never boils until it does. Everyone is watching these maps by the hour and can't see the forest for the trees