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Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
Have you read Al Kluis piece on the grain future? He says demand is great and we are one weather scare away from substantially higher prices.
I don't disagree a bit. It makes perfect sense to me. My plan is to be able to take advantage of just such a price increase if it happens in 2018.
My other plan is to be able to survive, indeed, to make a little money, if we have another good crop. I don't see any other option than to be ready to do both. I haven't figured out yet how to do this, but I don't see any option. Waiting for a weather market that may not happen means being sure I'll take a low price if the big crop comes in.
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Re: Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
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Re: Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
well from what I've seen in the past.......we'll have wx problems ((so as a dry high plains))....and then the trade says "oh that's just
a local thing, world wide things are ok"..........and then if it gets worse......."oh we have a big supply, even with a reduction, we
are still ok, and we'll still raise a crop somewhere"............
but here is the rub, if we have a weather problem as significant to make a significant change in the markets.......chances are YOUR crop
could be in trouble......nothing worse when prices go up, and you have a short crop.
in this situation, using the market might be easier (and do I dare say cheaper)......ok, yes i'll admit i'm currently on a high dose of
prednisone for my breathing........can't sleep due to that so I don't know if its the prednisone or sleep deprivation.....
if you could take a position......without a lot of cost......and somehow a "fix" so you wouldn't have the broker calling at 3 in the morning
saying you need to make a margin call..........you could keep loading money in it.......then suddenly, when your out in the field
or under a piece of equipment working on it, the market goes the opposite on you, and there goes the $$$$
I guess you could be fancy, and "draw your line in the sand"......and to act as insurance on constant margin calls
have another position to make up for it..
BA was showing off his early Christmas present.......I wonder how much he has made already ???
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Re: Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
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Re: Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
Al has no more clue than many of us. He has only recommended selling 10% of 2017 corn crop. Better hope for a rally with 90% sitting out there.
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Re: Al Kluis Is Long Term Bullish Grains
Maybe Al can elaborate on the expression LONG - long time coming , far, far away & next the word IF comes into play ? ?
Bases - excuses are a cliff hanger mystery ?
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