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CV 318

We tend to treat the Sep contract like the red headed stepchild but, if you happen to place any significance on continuation charts, it is checking out the multi-year continuation low from harvest 2014.

 

If we get a supportive report and something else to follow we can call it a double bottom. Break it and I'd suggest that, at minimum, CZ will close whatever continuation gap is left by CV.

 

I have no opinion about corn going into the report. As expressed, I do have concerns about a deteriorating fundamental case in beans coupled with funds still long.

 

I'm doubtful that either yield or stocks/demand projections are going to reflect that deterioration in this report, and maybe not the Sep report either.

 

Sep should give a clearer view on corn production.

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Erk

So much for that theory but glad I held my puts.

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