Some people are talking 2010 as an analog year based on high crop conditions that resulted in only a trend yield of 152.
Which via straight linear trend would be around 162 this year, about as low as I can reasonably get to in my own mind.
But also in my mind, 2010 is a very poor comparison as June-early July were near opposite- excessively wet across major regions.
As far as the heat issue, I saw a study that indicated it there were also higher nightime temps than this year.
If it was easy to figure out there wouldn't be people making a living off of not doing a very good job guessing.
