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Crop Tours and USDA Forecasts folks may be interested in two recent FDD articles on crop forecasting:

1. This article discusses reliability of crop tour estimates:

2. This one discusses trends in the accuracy of USDA corn yield estimates:

Look forward to answering your questions.

Scott Irwin
University of Illinois

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Honored Advisor

Re: Crop Tours and USDA Forecasts



Why does the second study ignore the March to August time period of forcasts.  

Predictions made after harvest has begun should be accurate..

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