Elsa

[sdholloway56]

is now a TS with hurricane status increasingly likely.

Hurricane tracks are not exact science but right now the track looks to bends north and make landfall along the eastern gulf coast.

Makes sense, given the strong ridging to the west. It probably would require a landfall on the lower TX coast to push a lot of moisture up into the NW corn belt.

[lsc76cat]

Took hurricane Isaac to break the 2012 drought.  We were at Lincoln's Boyhood National Memorial with 2 of our grand-daughters that August and when we left we took I64 towards St. Louis.  We could see the leading edge of the storm clouds coming north.  Was an impressive site to see that massive wall of dark blue.  Don't think it helped break the drought too far west tho.

[roarintiger1]

I don’t think farmers want anything to do with Elsa touching their crops until at least October. 

Yeah, you may have to think about that for a while. 

[sdholloway56]

It’ll be what it is.

But the western ridge looks pretty stout- I think it is likely to be steered away from a track that would push a lot of moisture into the area that needs it.

But a big storm can shake things up in unexpected ways although no reason at present to predict it will be big, or anything specific will result.

Might, or might not deliver too much to areas which don’t.