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popspoppe
Frequent Contributor

Fall 2019 how bad can it be with good yields?

Let’s say your late planted corn just makes it to black line before the October 25th killing frost. Plus, it did very well and by your combine monitor its 35% moisture and yielding 250 dry bushels per acre. Things are looking great right?
Let’s see how we are doing;  first it takes 19,500 pounds of 35% moisture corn to get to 250 bushels of dry corn. That’s 5500 pounds of water your hauling around for every acre or about 100 bushels. So, your 750 - bushel grain cart must be almost full just to hold 500 bushels. So, you must haul seven loads to get 5 loads of dry corn.
No way is your dryer going to keep up to the combine and take out 20 points of moisture. Sell it out of the field how does that work out? If you haul in 56,000# of 35% corn first they charge 4 cents a point for 20 points on the 1000 bushels to dry it that’s $800. Then they shrink it 1.5% for every point over 15% that is only 300-bushel. Then because its wet the test weigh is only 48# that cost another 16 cents. Plus, shelling 35% corn damages a lot of kernels and makes a lot of fines and broken cobs so you get clipped for 8% foreign mater that’s another 30 cents.
$3.50 cash price less 16 cents for test weigh and 30 cents for FM leaves $3.04 times 700-bushel dry corn. That’s $2,128 less $800 drying cost so a $1,328 check for the load.
56,000# divided by 19,000# of wet corn per acre is about 2.9 acres of corn went on the truck and $1,328 came back. Or, about $458 per acre gross income even with $70 MFP that’s $525 I can’t see anybody getting rich even with an outstanding yield.
But it’ll sure look good filling the grain cart every time across the field and all the loaded trucks going to the coop.

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4 Replies
roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: Fall 2019 how bad can it be with good yields?

Many guys will have that 35% corn, but few will have 250 bushels per acre............So......plug in about 140 to your equation and see where that leads.

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popspoppe
Frequent Contributor

Re: Fall 2019 how bad can it be with good yields?

140 wet is just too depressing even with MFP its only $266 per acre not good with $220 cash rent but really bad with $350 rent.

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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: Fall 2019 how bad can it be with good yields?

The yields aren't going to be what the USDA has predicted.... Many should've taken all PP and left the planter in the barn.

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powermajor
Frequent Contributor

Re: Fall 2019 how bad can it be with good yields?

My combine seems to drink more fuel running that wet corn, and the extra trips with the tractor and cart won't help my compaction problems either. Add another 20% to your fuel bill for harvest and fall tillage, too! The nice thing is that Ukraine will supply most of China's "dry" corn needs, so maybe we should let our crop dry on the stalk all winter.  Happy Fall

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