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marketeye
Veteran Advisor

Floor Talk August 17

At the close:

The Dec. futures corn contract finished 1/4 of a cent lower at $8.07 1/4. The Nov. soybean contract settled 20 1/2 cents higher at $16.45 3/4. Dec. wheat futures contract closed 12 3/4 cents higher at $8.94 1/2 per bushel. The Dec. soyoil futures contract settled $0.08 higher at $53.74. The Dec. soymeal futures contract settled $10.30 per short ton higher at $499.90.


In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.43 per barrel higher, the dollar is higher and the Dow Jones Industrials are 15 points higher.

 

One analyst is asking the question that remains. "What is in store for the rest of the month, now that we do not have another monthly crop report by the U.S.D.A. to adjust supply side production numbers until September and weather's affect on yields is largely over. Are we going to continue trading the old bullish news and move to new highs or adjust lower off post growing season, pre –harvest pressure psychology. I feel there is a better chance of a break now but  let the charts guide us," he says.

 

Mike

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At mid-day:

The Dec. futures corn contract is trading 1/4 of a cent higher at $8.07 3/4. The Nov. soybean contract is trading 12 1/2 cents higher at $16.37 3/4. Dec. wheat futures are trading 10 cents higher at $8.91 3/4 per bushel. The Dec. soyoil futures contract is trading $0.15 higher at $53.81. The Dec. soymeal futures contract is trading $5.90 per short ton higher at $495.50.


In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.20 per barrel higher, the dollar is higher and the Dow Jones Industrials are 7 points higher.

 

One analyst says, "It is a choppy affair today, with little in the way of new trade interest showing.  
"Wheat strength seems to be some follow-through buying on Russia, but that seems to be fading now. The corn and bean markerts are pretty quiet, although some ideas of new demand helping the beans out," he says.  
Lots of people remain on the sidelines, waiting for news and there is not much news to trade on today, he says.  "That changes next week, with the Pro Farmer Crop Tour. So, I expect some volatility next week. But, today is a pretty slow affair for me and pretty much everyone, judging from what I am seeing around here," he says..

 

Mike

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At the open:

The Dec. futures corn contract is trading 4 1/4  cents higher at $8.12. The Nov. soybean contract is trading 8 cents higher at $16.33. Dec. wheat futures are trading 13 cents higher at $8.75 per bushel. The Oct. soyoil futures contract opened $0.08 higher at $53.32. The Oct. soymeal futures contract opened $4.30 per short ton higher at $504.80.


In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil is $0.19 per barrel lower, the dollar is higher and the Dow Jones Industrials are 9 points higher.

 

Mike

-----------------

At 7:00am:

Early calls: Corn 2-4 cents lower, soybeans 7-9 cents higher, and wheat 7-9 cents higher.

 

 

Trackers:
Overnight grain, soybean markets=Trading mostly higher.
Crude Oil=$0.53 per barrel lower.
Dollar=Higher.
Wall Street=Seen opening flat.

World=Higher.

 

More in a minute,

 

Mike

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23 Replies
Palouser
Senior Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

It sounds like the money is on Russia putting an export tax on wheat exports before the end of the year, and if they do, so will Ukraine. The recent spurt of exports from Russia is apparently related to companies wanting to export before restrictions.

 

Apparently export taxes are allowable by the WTO but, not outright bans.

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Palouser
Senior Advisor

Rabobank's conclusions predicting higher grain prices

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Mizzou_Tiger
Senior Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

So the $ ? Is..........is it different this time.......

:). You know my answer.......hasn't changed for two years.......
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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

"U.S. soybean use is rising at an alarming rate".    So much for demand destruction...........

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c-x-1
Veteran Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

U.S corn use is sustaining at an almost alarming rate. Scott Irwin from Univ of IL interviewed recently - this is a paraphrase/summary - ethanol will be driven by economic incentive, irrespective of size of current corn crop. corn will be used to boost the octane & provide the oxygenate to gasoline until a more cost effective alternative can be developed, regardless of any mandate or lack thereof.

 

 

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too close for comfort
Senior Contributor

Re: Rabobank's conclusions predicting higher grain prices

With traders seemingly unable or unwilling to take the prices high enough to ration the demand will it be done solely with basis?

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marketeye
Veteran Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

The U.S. will not run out of corn, USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack tells Marketeye.

 

The full story with video.

 

Mike

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Mizzou_Tiger
Senior Advisor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

How does he know........they thought 166 was a reasonable goal.........

And who was that government retard that spoke a few months ago and said don't read too much into the weather pattern and drought.....we got this.......no problem at all.........
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fringeacres
Veteran Contributor

Re: Floor Talk August 17

There will be corn in the U.S. Whether it can get from an 80 yr old farmer bin in Nebraska to a poultry house in Maryland? Another?
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