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Floor Talk February 25
At the close:
At the close, the May corn futures finished 1 3/4 cents lower at $3.83 3/4 per bushel. The Dec. corn futures ended 3/4 of a cent lower at $4.09.
May soybean futures finished 8 cents lower at $10.10 3/4. The Nov. soybean futures closed 5 1/2 cents lower at $9.87.
May wheat futures settled 6 1/2 cents lower to $4.97 1/4.
In the outside markets, the NYMEX crude oil market is $1.28 higher per barrel, the U.S. dollar is lower, and the Dow Jones Industrials are 1 point higher.
Mike
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At 1:42pm:
The weekly ethanol production dropped, for the week ending February 20th:
According to EIA data, ethanol production averaged 947,000 barrels per day (b/d)—or 39.77 million gallons daily. That is down 17,000 b/d from the week before. The four-week average for ethanol production stood at 955,000 b/d for an annualized rate of 14.64 billion gallons.
Stocks of ethanol stood at 21.6 million barrels. That is a 2.4% increase from last week and the highest since 4/20/2012.
Imports of ethanol were zero b/d, unchanged from last week, according to the Renewable Fuels Association press release.
Mike
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Soybeans start lower, turn higher, then reverse lower:
At 10:15am:
At 10:15am, the May corn futures are trading 2 3/4 cents lower at $3.82 per bushel.
May soybean futures are trading 1/2 of a cent higher to 1 cent lower, in a range between $10.17 and $10.19.
May wheat futures are trading 6 cents lower to $4.97.
In the outside markets, the Brent crude oil market is $0.28 lower per barrel, the U.S. dollar is lower, and the Dow Jones Industrials are 4 points lower.
Mike
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At the open:
At the open, the May corn futures are trading 1/2 of a cent lower at $4.09 per bushel.
May soybean futures are trading 4 cents lower at $10.14.
May wheat futures are trading 3/4 of a cent lower to $5.03.
In the outside markets, the Brent crude oil market is $.58 higher per barrel, the U.S. dollar is lower, and the Dow Jones Industrials are 1 point lower.
Mike
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At 8:05am:
Private exporters reported to the U.S. Department of Agriculture export sales of 120,000 metric tons of hard red winter wheat for delivery to Egypt during the 2014/2015 marketing year.
The marketing year for wheat began June 1.
Mike
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At 7:15am:
Early calls: Corn 2-4 cents lower, soybeans 4-5 cents lower, and wheat 1-2 cents lower.
Trackers:
Overnight grain, soybean markets = Trading lower.
Brent Crude Oil = $0.43 higher.
Dollar =Lower.
Wall Street = Seen flat, as investors await the rest of Fed Chairman Yellen's speech to House Finance Committee Wednesday. She already has hinted that the Fed is willing to be patient on an interest rate rise.
World Markets = Europe stocks were lower, Asia/Pacific stocks were lower.
More in a minute,
Mike
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
Good bottoms often require a good deep retest and that is happening.
I wouldn't bet heavily on the recent swing lows holding as oil and general commodity sentiment lags but also will respect the market if it speaks thusly. I'd be happy to hear it.
Seasonal will turn positive but this year has shown some contraseasonal tendencies and that does happen. As far as the question of who sells in a down market there is a simple answer- elevators do if the basis bids for it. Time is coming to get the piles up (plenty still in ECB anyway) and generally try to take care of any potential quality problems before it warms up.
If farmer holding is going to exert a big influence it will probably be once commercial stocks are diminished.
Could be that the huge increase in on farm storage will shift the game, I await the answer.
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
Local elevator is expecting a "wall of corn to flow in" hasn't happened yet. They are not sure why.
Could it be price?
Maybe less income tax to pay and so not so many bu need to come to town?
The basis has improved 5¢ in the last 10 days here and corn is still only about $3.60 this morning cash.
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
hardnox,
Regarding soybeans, commercials reported yesterday's farmer-selling was some of the most active in a long long time.
It's nice to see some folks "rewarding the market".
To your point about corn piles, I witnessed an elevator's piles outside of Bloomington, Illinois, on Sunday. However, I also noticed a 50-railcar unit sitting on the tracks coming into the elevator, waiting to be filled. So, maybe more corn is getting set to be shipped out.
I did read this morning, Ukraine and Argentina are both securing corn exports, limiting the U.S. corn exports into springtime.
Mike
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
The market is currently digesting the truckers strike in Brazil. And the latest on that is the Brazilian government announced Wednesday that it won't lower the diesel fuel tax. That is the main dispute claim by the truckers. So, the strike is ongoing now, since last Thursday.
But, I'm learning more about Argentina farmers still sitting on a tremendous amount (about 18%) of last year's soybean crop totalling 53.4 million metric tons. Plus, estimates for this 2015 crop, to be harvested in April, are at record-high levels of 57.8 million metric tons.
The government is upset, believing farmers are hoarding the crop. Some Argentina farmers are now having their silo storage bags being slit open by attackers.
The question is what might happen marketwise with soybeans, once the Argentine farmers dump last year's crop on the market to make room for this year's crop in those torn bags?
Mike
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
When will USDA start delivering their corn??
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Re: Floor Talk February 25
there is alot of farm sales in a single
Day, within 12 hours
Most do business with local elevators, and
They don't blab
Seems like.a ploy to me