Floor Talk November 19

[GoredHusker]

We're so dry here in SW NE that I don't think we'll have to worry about the ground freezing because there isn't enough moisture in it to freeze.  We have been excessively warm thus far.  I looked over at the thermometer Saturay, and it said 74 degrees.  This is not normal.  There have been very few mornings so far that I've even had to break ice for the cows.  I remember the warm winters from a decade ago, and I remember what transpired the following summer.  This is not good.  Thankfully, my rye is under a pivot.  This is the first year in probably three decades I didn't drill any dryland rye.  It was so dry that I don't think it would have even come up.  Plus, it's fairly sandy and I didn't want to worry about it blowing all winter. 

I guess there's always a silver lining.  Most guys around here have very little hay for feed if we would happen to get a lot of snow that hangs around for a long time.  With this current weather pattern, the cornstalks will be well utilized.  I've got a lot of hay around, but I hope I don't have to use it.  I saw a couple of pivots running over the weekend watering irrigated wheat. 

[Palouser]

I have seen planting equipment in the same field with harvesting of high moisture corn  in order to make enough time to fit the rotation into the seasons in Parana.  Disks were right behind the combines in damp soil.  It can be very tight.

[sw363535]

Mike,

just a thought I read this morning.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-11-19/commodities-super-cycle-is-over-citigroup-s-morse-says-1-.h...

[Palouser]

Soybeans and metals etc. have little in common. Food is a different class. Metals and other industrial commodity supplies can be changed during the year and seasons aren't usually relevant. 

I'd be interested if somebody graphed China's growth rates with soybean consumption. Or copper prices with ag prices. For physical. Although minerals and raw commodities can surge during growth if there is a need I thnk you'd find that while a mineral could ratchet down food would rarely do that in quantity consumed.

[jrjfarms]

I don't post often, but thought I would jump in.

This time last year my creek was running as well as my tiles. My pond is 5 feet low, my tiles are not running

as well as the creek. We need rain before it freezes up.

Another  thing is I have never seen basis like they are this time of year, usually -45 or more. Grain buyers are wanting the corn

two months before delivery time. The coops are going to take npe corn and beans after the first of Dec. I have

been getting calls from ethanhol plant.

By the way I am in Boone co. Ia. started farming in the 60's

[roarintiger1]

I will gladly share some rain.......Fields are still very wet here in NW Ohio......the fields left to harvest are shaded and not drying out.  There are many fields with ruts that are gonna need some healing before next year......

[Nebrfarmr]

Feel free to send some rain our way.  We haveen't gotten 3 inches total, since May 5th.

The electric fences, are not even working.  You can grab the wire, and just feel a tingle.  The only thing keeping the cows in, is that there is nothing growing on the other side of the fence, either.

[unlgrad]

BY the grounding rod, I had to set 3  5 gallon buckets with a small hole in bottom and filled 5 times and that seemed to do the trick for now.  Lots of snap now if you touch it.

[marketeye]

jrjfarms,

Thanks for sharing. It's always great to see folks come out of the darkness of the worldwide web and come into the light. We appreciate you chiming in. Good stuff.

Mike