Floor talk September 15

[sonoma72]

weatherunderground is an excellent site.   using the wundermap you can view  a large area of weather stations, click on each one, and see the temp history for overnight.  I saw the station you did, a lot of places were 3-4 degrees colder than their 7 am temps.   looks like the cold came earlier than usual around 3-4, rather than the usual 6-7 time frame. 

[roarintiger1]

I would think that ANY bushels lost due to this frost would be a driver for higher prices. Of course, you can't lose what you never had. I guess the panic will set in later.

[frank232]

Here is a map of morning lows today... 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/weather/difax/2099.gif

I had some frost on the roof here in SW Wisconsin.   Windowns on the car were ice covered (had to scrape). 

[fbf2574789]

South Central MN got frosted out to do damage.

[BA Deere]

Mike, on the corn it was far enough along in my little area anyway, it may have hurt yields a tad.  Those that were delayed in planting have to be hurt, with the better than expected early yields, maybe they cancel each other out and USDA 148 will be close.  On the beans, IMO they got shut down around here.  I think beans are the sleeper story, because if we had a full season with this frost on Oct 5th it could`ve been 60bu., figuring say 2500 seeds per lb. Now shut down early let`s say we`re now looking at 3000? or 3500? seeds per lb.  I`m not going to do the math because bean yields are more an art form, but we could be talking double digit % cut.  Just thinking out loud, the application of fungicide on beans, it kept them healthy and green, maybe keeping them green wasn`t the best idea this year.  Just before a predicted frost we all wish we had planted a bean with a few clicks earlier maturity.  Another thing this beans with green leaves really went down under the weight of frost, harvest loses? 

[Red Steele]

I was thinking the same thing about the fungicide.....IF you have a nice september, it can add five bushels of yield, but I wonder how many bushels it took away this year??? and how the ten year average will fare out now, versus not using the fungicide.

I think that for the most part, my soybeans were far enough along that it won't be a double digit loss, but it is sure going to be somewhat of a loss. Out of three billion or so bushels, maybe the frost losses are pretty insignicant, though.

[Nebrfarmr]

Went to Grand Island yesterday, as well (Husker Harvest Days) and saw quite a bit of green corn, and a LOT of green beans.

I am far enough west that the clouds & rain came before the frost, but North and East of me, it was clear most of the night, and could very well have a good frost.  I know of some corn planted end of June that needs a late frost for anything more than sialage.  Not a lot but some.  I'd say 50% of the beans around here will lose at least some yield if it froze last night.