Perhaps you are focusing too much on fundamentals. Futures markets trade more on psychology rather than fundamentals, until we get close to delivery dates and all the liars poker players have to get out of the way. But in the meanwhile, if we can find a way to gauge the psychology of the market, we can have a good change at predicting price movements. That is the rationale behind all technical analysis.
I have my own pet peeves...like how is it that if I try to manipulate a market, they'll throw me in jail, but the government and its agencies, and to some degree the exchanges, are given full license to manipulate. As if there is a good and bad form of manipulation, and the government brand always is good ? Rubbish...
But we either accept it and try to find ways to get around it, or we look to do something else with our lives...
