I Promised Some Pictures

[jennys_mn]

OK - Here's a couple of pictures of what I have seen this spring.  The first picture is in western MN, 30 SE of Fargo, from 2 weeks ago. erday in 

This picture is from The Marshfield, WI area Yesterday

This one was from west of Marshfield   What struck me about this photo, is what you can't see.  In every direction for as far as you can see - it looks just like this:

You'd have to see it to believe it.  7th of July, and planting in full progress.  One more,  July 7th - look close - these are twin corn rows.

When's this corn going to pollinate?   Does it really matter - that's the real question.  This is a smattering of what I have seen every day for the past month.  From Central WI through MN, ND and to Montana.  Yes, there are pockets where the crops don't look too bad.  But these pictures also aren't the worst of the worst.  The area is huge.  And if it stops raining, all bets are off on this crop across the entire midwest.

Jen

[farmer46]

Thanks for the pics.  The last drive I did west of me, was a little different, some very nice and then some just planted, and then some not planted, All within about 1 mile.  I think we can say, no one can predict this crop of corn or beans.

[jennys_mn]

When you get a chance, take a look at the jet stream.  Notice the large area of high pressure centered around the panhandle of Texas and the New Mexico border.  You can tell where it is by looking at the winds rotating clockwise around this area.  In the center of the circle the winds are the calmest.  This high is effecting weather from the west coast to just east of the Mississippi river - now.  There is a surface high pressure system associated with this over the four corners area.  It's stationary right now, but this thing is the dome of doom that we talk about now and then.  If that thing moves to the NE, as slow as it and all systems are moving right now, it's lights out for this crop.

Jen

[onocowzout]

Not to be discouraging, but the several times over the years that I planted corn in july here in wcpa there have never been kernals. Not very good dairy silage.

[jennys_mn]

Yes, it is difficult to predict the crop size.  What is not diffucult to predict is that when you look a t the pictures that I just posted, ON JULY 7th, do not a record crop make!  And where the trade is at right now still indicates that all is well with the crop in this country.  Like I said, the feeling is that the crop is in the bin.  It's not in the bin, this market is wrong, and the longer it stays done the more explosive this thing becomes and the more markets that we are likely to lose in the future.  If last years drought caused pain with $8.00 corn, this thing has the potential to kill our markets.  And that is my real concern.  We can live with $6.00 , $6.50 corn which is where I think it should be right now (Dec 13).  We have essentially no carry out.  All I'm saying is be very careful here with your marketing.  Don't market what you don't have - especially at $5.00.  And maybe give this market a little more time to develope.

Jen

[c-x-1]

Thanks for the pics and weather knowledge, Jen!

if you've seen the sat images from NOAA comparing greenness back to 2005----simply no comparison to any of those yrs.

 i'm stickin' to bet w/ somebody on here --can't remember, i've grown old and grey--that by Jan report, we don't even match last yrs tot prod.

c-x-1

[bkadds]

Jenny, the high can go anywhere but where it has parked itself. Hot, dry and windy here. Hard to keep up irrigating. By the way, I have family in Owatonna and Farmington. They have never seen so much rain as they got this spring. Time will only tell on the markets, but they usually come late to the party. Steele county raises a lot of corn normally that will be a big fat zero this year.