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Senior Advisor

IL looks rough.

Wow
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19 Replies
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Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

So Illinois still replanting corn   AND BEANS.   Many replanted bean fields are going for #3 on no tilled ground infested with slugs.   60 day forecast for Central/So IL is for ZIP on measurable precip through July.     Maybe not 2012....but for some will be worse.  

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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

So far have seen a few good pockets with stark lines of bad. Lots of planters running and several untouched fields too.

Long range just went hot and dry.

Like I said. June is going to get Intersting.
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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

Getting worse as we close in on IN
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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

Looks like May 2nd not June.
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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

Tiger - come on down to Shelby County IN : )) I'll show some good stuff - as in bad - I have never seen so many planters running At the first of June - damit - Race Day is bad enough

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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

Yeah. I was shocked at the bare fields and planters rolling. And I guess I haven't seen the worst.

I know what 2015 was like for us. I know how stressful it is.
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Veteran Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

How many millions of bushels do you all project that the ECB and southern CCB take off the yield projections?

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Senior Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

We could see a national average of 15X........
Highlighted
Veteran Advisor

Re: IL looks rough.

Early projections were 90,000,000 acres @ 170.7 bu/acre equals 15,363,000,000 bushels.  A national average of 155 bpa would yield 13,950,000,000 bushels.  A difference of 141,300,000 bushels.

 

Figure half of IL and all of IN, MO and OH are affected by bad weather.  That is 18,900,000 call it 19,000,000 acres.The rest of the country is 71,000,000 acres times 170.1 bpa equals 12,077,100,000 bushels.  That means 1/2 IL, all of IN, MO and OH produce 187,290,000 bushels   Divide by 19,000,000 acres results in 9.85 bpa in 1/2 IL and all of IN, MO and OH to end up with a national average of 155 bpa.

 

Basis would probably go up in those states.  Smiley Happy  I think I'll buy corn futures.

 

 

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