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Veteran Advisor
Posts: 947
Registered: ‎10-18-2016
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Is Allendale Right?

Allendale puts the bean yield at a little over 47.  Most others are over 49.  How is right and where does one put the marketing month?

 

Another way of looking at that is which direction are bean yields going to go?  Few of us think there are more beans out there than 49+ pba, but where is the marketing money?  I'm personally a little leery of going long beans yet.  That probably means I'll miss any move.

Honored Advisor
Posts: 15,051
Registered: ‎05-13-2010
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

Around here beans looked good, but white mold/sudden death is creeping in.   Some are kind of turning, some are green, but see pretty much 50 pods per plant so that`s about a 50 bpa yield.  Sounds like we`ll dodge the frost next Wednesday, if that`s the case the green beans can add weight and be a little better.  On a national scale it`s hard to quantify bean yields, because many times the beans on crappy ground can out yield the high CRS stuff...don`t know why but unlike corn, beans like a little stress.   So yeah, Lord willing and the creek don`t rise 47 isn`t out of the question.

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Contributor
Posts: 11
Registered: ‎12-10-2010

Re: Is Allendale Right?

If they are right someone must have some really good beans . Time will tell.  Down here in the southern end of Johnson County , Iowa  I have had a whopping 7 tenths of rain since July 21st when I got a whole half inch. In the 42 years I've been farming I have never seen a good bean crop yet when  it  didn't rain in August. I expect to find small beans in the pods and aborted ones. So just saying you can't just rely on pod counts you have to wait and see what's in them. 

Contributor
Posts: 20
Registered: ‎05-15-2016

Re: Is Allendale Right?

RJO'Brien released their tour results.   Corn at 163.2 and beans at 46.7.   Probably closer than the rest of the groups.   CWG has stated that 40% of the corn belt will remain too dry for the next two weeks.   RJ is also concerned about the western corn belt being so far behind.   My brother in nw Iowa is concerned about the lack of direct sunlight because of the amount of smoke coming around due to the western fires-says the sky is real hazy.              The numbers that all of these groups are giving still stay within 6% of the August estimate.   The USDA stated that 90% of the time, the final yield is within 6% of their  August yield estimate, so I would not expect any numbers outside of the 6%.

Honored Advisor
Posts: 5,301
Registered: ‎01-10-2012
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

[ Edited ]

Extremely cloudy here, strange orange glow  coming through.

 

They. Could be 5.5% off, still be within tolerance and wind up with a 160 yield. They also get to manipulate harvested acres, really helps when you can do that to keep most of your figures in line .

 

Getting even a funnier color out there right now (no joke) . This must be the smoke part of the smoke and mirrors they use?

Frequent Contributor
Posts: 52
Registered: ‎05-14-2010
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

Became very hazy here in central KS around noon today. First time to see it. Been clear up until today this neck of the woods.
Veteran Advisor
Posts: 947
Registered: ‎10-18-2016
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

Canadian wildfires?  We've seen the haze in eastern Iowa the last couple of days.

Esteemed Advisor
Posts: 2,478
Registered: ‎04-29-2011
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

Any of these numbers on yields are strictly a guess AND a dream.   These guesses now will be the high water marks for the year. As I look into the rear view mirror I am reading this:   "Actual yields may be smaller than they appear. " Smiley Wink

Honored Advisor
Posts: 5,301
Registered: ‎01-10-2012
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Re: Is Allendale Right?

[ Edited ]

2017-09-04 20.57.01.jpg

 

Left replant May 31

 

First time I've walked into this field 

 

Corn on corn, 140# Nh3 

River bottom,  field cultivated,  planted first time May 16, replanted about 25% last of May.